l'observatoire economique et social note de conjoncture n° 33 · conjoncture agricole - prix...

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1 La baisse des prix à la production des produits agricoles se poursuit au 4 e trimestre 2014 ; cette baisse des prix pèse sur l’excédent des échanges, en forte dégradation sur 2014 A l’exception du vin, des œufs et des légumes, la baisse des prix continue d’affecter l’ensemble des produits agricoles. Les niveaux record de la récolte mondiale pèsent sur les cours des céréales et oléagineux. Le prix de l’ensemble des vins reste en revanche élevé, mais la tendance haussière s’atténue en raison d’un potentiel de production viticole 2014 estimé en hausse par rapport aux années 2012 et 2013. Par ailleurs, les prix d’achat des moyens de production agricole sont toujours orientés à la baisse en lien avec la chute des prix des carburants. L’excédent des échanges agroalimentaires s’établit à 9,2 Md€ en 2014, en diminution de 2,0 milliard d’euros sur un an. Cette dégradation s’explique principalement par le recul du prix des céréales et des volumes vendus. L’emploi agricole reste orienté à la hausse au 3e trimestre 2014 Au regard de ses trois grandes composantes, heures travaillées, contrats et masse salariale, l’emploi agricole augmente fort ement (respectivement +5,3 %, +4,5 % et +4,6 %). Les conditions météorologiques favorables du printemps contribuent à cette hausse saisonnière, notamment dans les secteurs de la production et de la transformation. Enfin, le phénomène de substitution de l’emploi en CDI au profit de l’emploi CDD persiste au cours de la période. Les intentions d’embauche sont en nette augmentation au 3e trimestre 2014 Soutenu par les embauches en CDD-TODE dans les secteurs de la production et de la transformation, le nombre d’intentions d’embauche augmente sensiblement (+27,6 %). Deux facteurs expliquent cette évolution : l’effet de base joué par le repor t sur le 4ème trimestre 2013 de l’emploi saisonnier lié au décalage des récoltes et une production abondante de fruits et légumes en 2014. Le nombre de chefs d’exploitation ou d’entreprise agricole cotisant à la MSA baisse modérément en 2014 La baisse du nombre de chefs d’exploitation ou d’entreprises agricoles ( -1,0 %), comparable à celle de l’an passé (-1,1 %), s’inscrit dans la tendance observée depuis 2005. A ce recul démographique s’ajoutent l es grandes évolutions structurelles observées depuis dix ans : l’augmentation du poids des sociétés et le développement de l'imposition au réel. Prix agricoles et échanges agroalimentaires au 4e trimestre 2014 ..................................... 2 Emploi des salariés agricoles au 2e trimestre 2014 .............................................................. 3 Suivi des intentions d’embauche des salariés agricoles au 3e trimestre 2014 .................... 4 Les exploitants agricoles en 2014 ......................................................................................... 5 Télécharger les données au format Excel : Note de conjoncture n° 33 Volet 1 : Conjoncture agricole et emploi agricole L'Observatoire Economique et Social Juin 2015

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    La baisse des prix à la production des produits agricoles se poursuit au 4e trimestre 2014 ; cette baisse des prix pèse sur l’excédent des échanges, en forte dégradation sur 2014

    A l’exception du vin, des œufs et des légumes, la baisse des prix continue d’affecter l’ensemble des produits agricoles. Les niveaux record de la récolte mondiale pèsent sur les cours des céréales et oléagineux. Le prix de l’ensemble des vins reste en revanche élevé, mais la tendance haussière s’atténue en raison d’un potentiel de production viticole 2014 estimé en hausse par rapport aux années 2012 et 2013. Par ailleurs, les prix d’achat des moyens de production agricole sont toujours orientés à la baisse en lien avec la chute des prix des carburants.

    L’excédent des échanges agroalimentaires s’établit à 9,2 Md€ en 2014, en diminution de 2,0 milliard d’euros sur un an. Cette dégradation s’explique principalement par le recul du prix des céréales et des volumes vendus.

    L’emploi agricole reste orienté à la hausse au 3e trimestre 2014

    Au regard de ses trois grandes composantes, heures travaillées, contrats et masse salariale, l’emploi agricole augmente fortement (respectivement +5,3 %, +4,5 % et +4,6 %). Les conditions météorologiques favorables du printemps contribuent à cette hausse saisonnière, notamment dans les secteurs de la production et de la transformation. Enfin, le phénomène de substitution de l’emploi en CDI au profit de l’emploi CDD persiste au cours de la période.

    Les intentions d’embauche sont en nette augmentation au 3e trimestre 2014

    Soutenu par les embauches en CDD-TODE dans les secteurs de la production et de la transformation, le nombre d’intentions d’embauche augmente sensiblement (+27,6 %). Deux facteurs expliquent cette évolution : l’effet de base joué par le report sur le 4ème trimestre 2013 de l’emploi saisonnier lié au décalage des récoltes et une production abondante de fruits et légumes en 2014.

    Le nombre de chefs d’exploitation ou d’entreprise agricole cotisant à la MSA baisse modérément en 2014

    La baisse du nombre de chefs d’exploitation ou d’entreprises agricoles (-1,0 %), comparable à celle de l’an passé (-1,1 %), s’inscrit dans la tendance observée depuis 2005. A ce recul démographique s’ajoutent les grandes évolutions structurelles observées depuis dix ans : l’augmentation du poids des sociétés et le développement de l'imposition au réel.

    Prix agricoles et échanges agroalimentaires au 4e trimestre 2014 ..................................... 2

    Emploi des salariés agricoles au 2e trimestre 2014 .............................................................. 3

    Suivi des intentions d’embauche des salariés agricoles au 3e trimestre 2014 .................... 4

    Les exploitants agricoles en 2014 ......................................................................................... 5

    Télécharger les données au format Excel :

    Note de conjoncture n° 33

    Volet 1 : Conjoncture agricole et emploi agricole

    L'Observatoire Economique et Social

    Juin 2015

    Conjoncture 33

    Juin 2015

    Conjoncture n° 33 - volet 1

    DIRECTION DES ETUDES, DES REPERTOIRES

    ET DES STATISTIQUES

    Directeur de la publication :

    Alain PELC

    Département "Mission synthèses et diffusion"

    Responsable : David Foucaud

    foucaud.david@ccmsa;msa.fr

    Réalisé par :

    [email protected]

    [email protected]

    [email protected]

    mailto:foucaud.david@ccmsa;msa.frmailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://///FS01.ccmsa.int.msanet/ders/STATISTIQUES/COMMUN_STATISTIQUES/I-Dossiers_communs/réunion%20conjoncture%20DERS/notes%20trimestrielles%20conjoncture/Notes%202014/Note%20N°29/[email protected]

    IPPAP

    Tableau 1 : Indice des prix des produits agricoles à la production

    Evolution en % sur un an20112012201320142014 T12014 T22014T32014 T4

    Indice général brut12.85.91.4-5.0-4.9-5.0-5.1-5.5

    Céréales (18,8%)35.15.8-9.4-13.8-19.5-14.9-11.4-7.9

    Vins (17,7%)5.91.710.79.712.214.210.64.5

    Lait (14,7%)7.7-2.87.26.816.573.8-4.7

    Gros bovins (9,6%)7.214.15.3-5.7-3.4-6.1-7-6.4

    Porcins (5,4%)13.71.81.7-8.4-6.82.5-12.1-16.5

    Légumes frais (5,3%)13101.2-7.7-15.2-17.9-0.75.1

    Oléagineux (4,9%)-12.910.81.2-7.7-20.9-19.5-14.4-9.8

    Volailles (4,6%)18145.7-6.7-7.9-7.2-5.7-6.1

    Fruits frais (3,5%)-3.212.112.3-18.6-17.5-18.4-23.8-12.5

    Pommes de terre (2,6%)20.8-0.562.2-40.4-22.3-42.1-48.8-42.6

    Œufs (1,5%)11.652.1-343.2-12.87.7148.2

    Source : Insee

    Note: Les chiffres entre parenthèses indiquent pour chaque groupe de produits sa pondération dans le calcul de l’indice général

    IPAMPA

    Tableau 2 : Indice des prix des produits agricoles à la production

    Evolution en % sur un an 20112012201320142014 T12014 T22014T32014 T4

    Indice général9.23.31.5-3.1-3.0-2.0-1.8-2.2

    Aliments des animaux (20,5 %)18.66.55.2-7.6-9.1-7.2-6.8-7.3

    Energie et lubrifiants (10,0 %)18.23.1-1.6-4.1-3.0-0.2-3.1-10.1

    Engrais et amendements (9,2 %)23.74.1-5.1-4.7-10.3-6.9-3.53.1

    Semences et plants (6,6 %)0.73.43.70.41.00.40.2-0.2

    Biens d'investissement (25,3%)2.51.41.80.61.10.80.5-0.1

    Source : Insee

    Note: Les chiffres entre parenthèses indiquent pour chaque groupe de produits sa pondération dans le calcul de l’indice général

    Echanges AA

    Tableau 3 : Evolution des échanges agroalimentaires par groupes de produits

    En M€Import.Export.Solde

    201320142013201420132014Evol.

    Produits bruts et transformés48,88648,66060,13957,89211,2539,233-2,020

    Produits bruts12,16811,91616,41514,6694,2472,753-1,494

    dont céréales1,7411,7229,3797,8107,6386,088-1,550

    dont légumes2,8492,7752,2992,058-550-717-167

    dont fruits5,3905,2161,7551,806-3,635-3,410225

    Produits transformés36,71836,74343,72443,2247,0066,480-526

    dont boissons3,0293,02513,74713,46510,71810,440-278

    dont prod. de l’abattage5,7265,6504,8444,542-882-1108-226

    dont autres prod. alimentaires6,8527,2207,6407,697788477-311

    dont produits laitiers3,3683,5286,6127,0213,2443,493249

    source:Agreste, SSP

    EMPLOI SA

    ENSEMBLE DES CONTRATS Total des CDITotal des CDDPRODUCTIONTRANSFORMATIONTERTIAIREAUTRESSALAIRE HORAIREFIN DE TRIMESTRE

    ANNEETRIMESTREPERIODEContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireAgricoleCDICDDSmic horaire brut Déflaté par le SmicProductionTransformationTertiaireAutres

    200232002 3T1,381,351.00349,832,049.003,717,314,272.00568,413.00223,432,214.002,725,740,740.00812,938.00126,399,835.00991,573,532.00865,424.00162,404,402.001,416,694,830.00178,888.0065,364,079.00764,716,701.00222,742.0084,204,395.001,199,494,148.00114,297.0037,859,173.00336,408,593.0010.6312.207.846.671.59

    200242002 4T1,112,439.00319,349,977.003,949,482,035.00567,476.00222,479,405.003,171,453,571.00544,963.0096,870,572.00778,028,464.00640,243.00137,773,359.001,291,858,508.00157,065.0061,660,613.00890,805,208.00209,845.0082,193,678.001,421,049,398.00105,286.0037,722,327.00345,768,921.0012.3714.268.036.831.81

    200312003 1T866,290.00301,413,173.003,444,876,063.00563,166.00221,723,732.002,855,727,189.00303,124.0079,689,441.00589,148,874.00410,184.00123,431,783.001,087,175,927.00145,204.0059,155,936.00719,482,006.00209,931.0082,234,641.001,311,480,435.00100,971.0036,590,813.00326,737,695.0011.4312.887.396.831.67

    200322003 2T1,009,965.00321,093,809.003,591,591,032.00564,495.00223,619,301.002,845,054,124.00445,470.0097,474,508.00746,536,908.00537,948.00140,157,550.001,235,511,468.00153,674.0060,123,228.00748,858,567.00211,490.0082,340,268.001,256,688,057.00106,853.0038,472,763.00350,532,940.0011.1912.727.666.831.64

    200332003 3T1,442,795.00348,731,579.003,830,295,608.00564,793.00222,845,803.002,805,021,950.00878,002.00125,885,776.001,025,273,658.00931,341.00162,157,449.001,473,918,838.00174,400.0064,400,803.00779,322,873.00222,587.0083,816,914.001,225,299,334.00114,467.0038,356,413.00351,754,563.0010.9812.598.146.831.61

    200342003 4T991,170.00312,113,661.003,988,822,661.00570,156.00226,549,112.003,286,653,206.00421,014.0085,564,549.00702,169,455.00521,714.00128,652,042.001,254,700,323.00150,803.0060,084,907.00899,829,850.00211,647.0084,789,566.001,467,353,796.00107,006.0038,587,146.00366,938,692.0012.7814.518.217.191.78

    200412004 1T865,898.00301,042,756.003,569,596,017.00579,081.00228,494,984.003,028,699,002.00286,817.0072,547,772.00540,897,015.00410,461.00123,390,710.001,128,411,308.00143,404.0058,505,533.00731,986,956.00208,352.0081,437,107.001,360,983,850.00103,681.0037,709,406.00348,213,903.0011.8613.257.467.191.65

    200422004 2T1,003,807.00319,120,954.003,676,093,704.00582,434.00230,069,480.002,982,886,977.00421,373.0089,051,474.00693,206,727.00528,935.00137,898,761.001,262,327,052.00149,648.0059,187,394.00756,221,185.00215,156.0082,334,789.001,283,136,899.00110,068.0039,700,010.00374,408,568.0011.5212.977.787.191.60

    200432004 3T1,347,377.00345,997,768.003,933,589,024.00576,787.00228,292,742.002,935,332,796.00770,590.00117,705,026.00998,256,228.00836,338.00159,444,831.001,515,893,353.00171,071.0063,480,800.00790,400,695.00222,951.0083,645,946.001,255,094,309.00117,017.0039,426,191.00372,200,667.0011.3712.868.487.191.58

    200442004 4T1,130,879.00318,510,304.004,196,798,505.00567,400.00224,413,248.003,376,957,678.00563,479.0094,097,056.00819,840,827.00655,121.00136,602,407.001,384,760,407.00154,896.0060,453,377.00929,578,735.00211,406.0081,623,614.001,492,427,622.00109,456.0039,830,906.00390,031,741.0013.1815.058.717.611.73

    200512005 1T870,567.00299,170,951.003,657,740,147.00565,387.00222,853,135.003,048,994,301.00305,180.0076,317,816.00608,745,846.00414,413.00121,761,621.001,157,901,279.00141,561.0058,004,993.00750,734,472.00208,690.0080,648,509.001,379,046,712.00105,903.0038,755,828.00370,057,684.0012.2313.687.987.611.61

    200522005 2T1,013,676.00318,862,498.003,802,940,544.00570,314.00225,146,288.003,029,354,696.00443,362.0093,716,210.00773,585,848.00538,165.00137,863,018.001,312,640,839.00147,922.0058,613,532.00775,725,547.00214,286.0081,338,684.001,312,057,396.00113,303.0041,047,264.00402,516,762.0011.9313.468.257.611.57

    200532005 3T1,404,194.00345,623,159.004,071,799,789.00574,972.00226,986,529.003,021,364,882.00829,222.00118,636,630.001,050,434,907.00889,436.00158,539,479.001,576,316,733.00171,108.0063,350,120.00813,488,208.00222,846.0082,910,575.001,285,384,276.00120,804.0040,822,985.00396,610,572.0011.7813.318.857.611.55

    200542005 4T1,051,585.00312,847,269.004,267,809,103.00572,482.00226,403,677.003,511,523,479.00479,103.0086,443,592.00756,285,624.00577,165.00129,348,347.001,366,080,666.00150,862.0060,375,042.00954,113,078.00211,003.0081,440,438.001,524,050,059.00112,555.0041,683,442.00423,565,300.0013.6415.518.758.031.70

    200612006 1T853,996.00296,839,878.003,746,213,928.00565,247.00222,685,198.003,138,727,026.00288,749.0074,154,680.00607,486,902.00396,913.00118,287,117.001,171,963,755.00139,087.0057,289,650.00759,406,458.00209,174.0080,841,396.001,414,833,345.00108,822.0040,421,715.00400,010,370.0012.6214.098.198.031.57

    200622006 2T996,078.00316,374,814.003,885,813,424.00564,710.00223,362,278.003,087,272,610.00431,368.0093,012,536.00798,540,814.00520,494.00134,170,097.001,334,562,722.00146,222.0058,143,886.00787,577,950.00213,197.0081,346,481.001,332,106,575.00116,165.0042,714,350.00431,566,177.0012.2813.828.598.031.53

    200632006 3T1,380,200.00342,769,635.004,154,416,315.00560,211.00221,518,613.003,035,690,979.00819,989.00121,251,022.001,118,725,336.00865,034.00154,985,484.001,592,508,217.00166,229.0062,110,338.00816,898,640.00224,887.0083,227,416.001,317,435,697.00124,050.0042,446,397.00427,573,761.0012.1213.709.238.031.51

    200642006 4T1,042,335.00312,139,023.004,351,520,149.00556,212.00220,056,033.003,508,690,935.00486,123.0092,082,990.00842,829,214.00568,100.00128,429,047.001,400,731,283.00146,848.0058,734,587.00949,962,873.00213,200.0082,159,175.001,561,590,150.00114,187.0042,816,214.00439,235,843.0013.9415.949.158.271.69

    200712007 1T859,252.00297,385,671.003,854,027,536.00552,530.00218,141,406.003,174,228,309.00306,722.0079,244,265.00679,799,227.00398,800.00117,839,025.001,207,192,883.00137,577.0056,541,731.00772,626,563.00211,019.0081,377,508.001,451,471,044.00111,856.0041,627,407.00422,737,046.0012.9614.558.588.271.57

    200722007 2T1,010,339.00318,585,051.004,046,133,159.00556,686.00219,454,197.003,156,161,883.00453,653.0099,130,854.00889,971,276.00527,607.00135,070,349.001,390,449,444.00144,808.0057,644,018.00800,680,459.00219,727.0082,286,323.001,404,668,966.00118,197.0043,584,361.00450,334,290.0012.7014.388.988.271.54

    200732007 3T1,359,865.00346,678,954.004,304,522,336.00559,449.00222,100,905.003,130,640,380.00800,416.00124,578,049.001,173,881,956.00833,088.00154,243,801.001,621,332,636.00166,911.0062,644,793.00842,856,201.00229,549.0085,268,672.001,381,134,142.00130,317.0044,521,688.00459,199,357.0012.4214.109.428.271.50

    200742007 4T1,058,221.00314,630,774.004,494,940,761.00549,909.00219,073,733.003,595,232,372.00508,312.0095,557,041.00899,708,389.00577,643.00129,406,848.001,448,200,755.00148,375.0058,946,811.00974,797,937.00215,579.0082,634,398.001,612,667,422.00116,624.0043,642,717.00459,274,647.0014.2916.419.428.441.69

    200812008 1T873,543.00301,671,464.004,029,295,565.00568,939.00224,832,572.003,354,942,002.00304,604.0076,838,892.00674,353,563.00404,127.00119,659,781.001,261,632,843.00141,184.0056,950,308.00801,822,806.00214,016.0082,208,915.001,521,586,408.00114,216.0042,852,460.00444,253,508.0013.3614.928.788.441.58

    200822008 2T988,249.00318,015,375.004,152,134,878.00566,103.00226,017,130.003,305,317,131.00422,146.0091,998,245.00846,817,747.00504,773.00133,079,179.001,419,872,409.00143,898.0057,048,774.00820,223,475.00218,427.0083,207,380.001,439,942,635.00121,151.0044,680,042.00472,096,359.0013.0614.629.208.441.55

    200832008 3T1,341,111.00342,357,585.004,386,659,642.00557,936.00221,685,261.003,190,364,749.00783,175.00120,672,324.001,196,294,893.00823,964.00152,549,324.001,661,589,786.00162,078.0061,266,896.00861,574,159.00226,691.0083,724,464.001,392,705,571.00128,378.0044,816,901.00470,790,126.0012.8114.399.918.631.48

    200842008 4T1,052,464.00314,924,337.004,627,911,299.00555,195.00221,046,423.003,680,841,509.00497,269.0093,877,914.00947,069,790.00574,096.00129,185,751.001,495,839,816.00146,067.0058,723,304.001,007,957,192.00215,085.0082,498,607.001,641,992,426.00117,216.0044,516,675.00482,121,865.0014.7016.6510.098.711.69

    200912009 1T865,586.00298,733,481.004,063,139,602.00555,646.00220,589,162.003,333,124,753.00309,940.0078,144,319.00730,014,849.00402,146.00118,330,691.001,279,156,307.00135,432.0055,743,002.00807,587,145.00216,174.0082,217,923.001,529,779,702.00111,834.0042,441,865.00446,616,448.0013.6015.119.348.711.56

    200922009 2T997,720.00316,553,127.004,206,793,354.00551,393.00219,849,704.003,268,917,871.00446,327.0096,703,423.00937,875,483.00524,276.00135,936,471.001,468,719,432.00134,315.0053,576,413.00792,518,175.00219,559.0082,500,329.001,462,832,038.00119,570.0044,539,914.00482,723,709.0013.2914.879.708.711.53

    200932009 3T1,367,813.00341,165,083.004,415,919,994.00552,284.00219,090,397.003,201,735,301.00815,529.00122,074,686.001,214,184,693.00859,105.00156,027,240.001,716,485,651.00155,411.0058,156,287.00825,409,196.00227,827.0083,579,497.001,412,526,616.00125,470.0043,402,059.00461,498,531.0012.9414.619.958.711.49

    200942009 4T1,022,186.00311,643,240.004,642,048,196.00566,200.00225,315,188.003,793,363,001.00455,986.0086,328,052.00848,685,195.00547,987.00128,004,778.001,493,609,827.00137,514.0055,069,018.00962,497,085.00216,239.0082,726,437.001,679,793,320.00120,446.0045,843,007.00506,147,964.0014.9016.849.838.821.69

    201012010 1T850,208.00296,262,087.004,097,727,638.00567,943.00225,118,312.003,460,361,831.00282,265.0071,143,775.00637,365,807.00395,712.00118,159,671.001,295,128,848.00129,437.0053,275,293.00792,969,416.00212,875.0081,869,287.001,555,491,462.00112,184.0042,957,836.00454,137,912.0013.8315.378.968.821.57302,480.00115,636.00198,121.0098,399.00

    201022010 2T974,552.00315,036,901.004,234,836,967.00573,533.00228,769,847.003,432,663,010.00401,019.0086,267,054.00802,173,957.00506,312.00134,138,847.001,473,788,079.00134,500.0053,946,575.00816,543,893.00215,590.0082,329,470.001,459,698,556.00118,150.0044,622,009.00484,806,439.0013.4415.009.308.861.52346,164.00118,092.00199,844.00100,795.00

    201032010 3T1,363,768.00341,626,074.004,485,893,182.00575,139.00228,530,031.003,380,468,359.00788,629.00113,096,043.001,105,424,823.00857,950.00155,461,263.001,726,933,647.00153,740.0057,983,328.00840,971,201.00225,141.0083,434,994.001,436,909,022.00126,937.0044,746,489.00481,079,312.0013.1314.799.778.861.48365,897.00120,886.00198,409.0097,918.00

    201042010 4T1,024,116.00313,180,314.004,735,474,073.00575,172.00228,740,853.003,930,806,300.00448,944.0084,439,461.00804,667,773.00552,118.00129,771,602.001,531,269,561.00138,689.0055,555,706.00987,206,276.00214,861.0082,661,957.001,710,183,214.00118,448.0045,191,049.00506,815,022.0015.1217.189.538.861.71257,665.00113,435.00199,726.0093,572.00

    201112011 1T869,318.00301,967,217.004,258,195,245.00573,079.00228,018,330.003,588,317,787.00296,239.0073,948,887.00669,877,458.00411,434.00122,029,657.001,364,113,190.00131,927.0053,933,834.00819,672,513.00213,572.0082,665,811.001,604,537,199.00112,385.0043,337,915.00469,872,343.0014.1015.749.068.861.59295,176.00115,344.00196,452.0097,137.00

    201122011 2T1,001,056.00321,719,549.004,408,924,072.00571,801.00228,159,361.003,524,376,754.00429,255.0093,560,188.00884,547,318.00530,575.00139,650,032.001,565,875,981.00138,333.0054,891,940.00850,120,101.00214,238.0082,210,239.001,495,491,572.00117,910.0044,967,338.00497,436,418.0013.7015.459.459.001.52336,426.00121,773.00198,124.0098,606.00

    201132011 3T1,388,549.00346,918,000.004,647,618,917.00573,896.00228,821,588.003,472,044,279.00814,653.00118,096,412.001,175,574,638.00880,348.00159,120,533.001,813,114,757.00156,551.0058,743,994.00875,224,806.00222,971.0083,253,410.001,458,166,453.00128,679.0045,800,063.00501,112,901.0013.4015.179.959.001.49368,161.00121,803.00196,262.00100,094.00

    201142011 4T972,463.00309,730,868.004,781,712,819.00565,935.00224,975,151.003,964,826,687.00406,528.0084,755,717.00816,886,132.00503,959.00126,302,538.001,526,928,354.00139,689.0056,140,519.001,019,733,090.00212,471.0082,360,702.001,724,793,281.00116,344.0044,927,109.00510,258,094.0015.4417.629.649.001.72263,584.00115,860.00197,586.0094,012.00

    201212012 1T859,705.00299,113,176.004,313,138,437.00558,159.00221,617,650.003,596,635,879.00301,546.0077,495,526.00716,502,558.00406,871.00120,454,002.001,380,569,876.00132,060.0054,487,524.00848,280,363.00210,430.0081,523,416.001,615,562,400.00110,344.0042,648,234.00468,725,798.0014.4216.239.259.191.57304,161.00117,158.00195,934.0096,800.00

    201222012 2T988,800.00320,766,020.004,477,479,546.00557,844.00221,673,191.003,517,444,428.00430,956.0099,092,829.00960,035,118.00519,823.00138,605,173.001,589,574,114.00137,081.0055,144,879.00878,134,256.00212,197.0080,971,019.001,498,203,525.00119,699.0046,044,949.00511,567,651.0013.9615.879.699.221.51342,950.00119,749.00191,397.00100,195.00

    201232012 3T1,356,252.00344,181,887.004,741,309,004.00559,120.00222,927,095.003,497,399,530.00797,132.00121,254,792.001,243,909,474.00851,296.00156,376,427.001,829,586,998.00154,336.0058,835,297.00897,164,488.00221,117.0082,694,741.001,491,817,577.00129,503.0046,275,422.00522,739,941.0013.7815.6910.269.401.47365,361.00116,928.00193,286.0092,723.00

    201242012 4T1,022,917.00317,176,855.005,003,328,926.00570,906.00226,879,468.004,102,003,354.00452,011.0090,297,387.00901,325,572.00550,811.00131,963,795.001,642,592,750.00142,517.0057,791,646.001,074,928,141.00211,458.0082,141,957.001,760,207,783.00118,131.0045,279,457.00525,600,252.0015.7718.089.989.401.68269,630.00120,011.00197,929.0096,510.00

    201312013 1T881,390.00304,004,079.004,447,577,654.00562,758.00222,788,192.003,682,245,190.00318,632.0081,215,887.00765,332,464.00426,640.00124,463,187.001,451,850,494.00132,386.0054,861,159.00878,042,559.00209,847.0081,217,014.001,629,654,817.00112,517.0043,462,719.00488,029,784.0014.6316.539.429.401.56310,145.00119,958.00196,347.0098,151.00

    201322013 2T979,391.00321,008,807.004,598,236,015.00560,752.00223,241,994.003,639,985,883.00418,639.0097,766,813.00958,250,132.00512,370.00138,512,999.001,614,397,161.00135,640.0055,148,262.00899,801,010.00213,193.0082,099,387.001,562,616,551.00118,188.0045,248,159.00521,421,293.0014.3216.319.809.431.52352,218.00122,403.00196,996.00101,691.00

    201332013 3T1,216,109.00340,559,674.004,719,227,654.00559,385.00222,532,268.003,538,286,697.00656,724.00118,027,406.001,180,940,957.00713,614.00153,272,203.001,779,842,495.00153,738.0058,839,855.00912,799,061.00219,924.0082,344,289.001,499,327,348.00128,833.0046,103,327.00527,258,750.0013.8615.9010.019.431.47366,544.00128,838.00194,652.00100,119.00

    201342013 4T1,257,382.00333,536,985.005,248,817,067.00552,745.00220,025,654.004,050,995,347.00704,637.00113,511,331.001,197,821,720.00787,813.00150,114,028.001,880,034,808.00141,828.0056,508,036.001,063,808,387.00209,705.0081,643,343.001,764,374,250.00118,036.0045,271,578.00540,599,622.0015.7418.4110.559.431.67279,117.00116,949.00196,727.0096,499.00

    201412014 1T892,809.00314,171,452.004,576,799,552.00549,967.00217,631,004.003,673,116,077.00342,842.0096,540,448.00903,683,475.00437,026.00130,422,254.001,516,245,006.00133,862.0055,352,426.00901,372,942.00208,863.0081,005,476.001,644,375,732.00113,058.0047,391,296.00514,805,872.0014.5716.889.369.531.53326,172.00120,736.00193,833.0099,618.00

    201422014 2T1,023,607.00337,895,146.004,809,741,907.00549,453.00218,802,222.003,642,389,549.00474,154.00119,092,924.001,167,352,358.00553,597.00150,525,593.001,753,814,479.00139,369.0056,162,135.00932,210,879.00211,710.0081,831,995.001,569,490,484.00118,931.0049,375,423.00554,226,065.0014.2316.659.809.531.49374,962.00125,993.00195,906.00102,120.00

    ENSEMBLE DES CONTRATS Total des CDITotal des CDDPRODUCTIONTRANSFORMATIONTERTIAIREAUTRESSALAIRE HORAIREFIN DE TRIMESTRE

    Evolution en glissement annuelContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireAgricoleCDICDDSmic horaire brut Déflaté par le SmicProductionTransformationTertiaireAutres

    200332003 3T4.45%-0.31%3.04%

    200342003 4T-10.90%-2.27%1.00%

    200412004 1T-0.05%-0.12%3.62%

    200422004 2T-0.61%-0.61%2.35%

    200432004 3T-6.61%-0.78%2.70%

    200442004 4T14.10%2.05%5.21%

    200512005 1T0.54%-0.62%2.47%

    200522005 2T0.98%-0.08%3.45%

    200532005 3T4.22%-0.11%3.51%

    200542005 4T-7.01%-1.78%1.69%

    200612006 1T-1.90%-0.78%2.42%

    200622006 2T-1.74%-0.78%2.18%

    200632006 3T-1.71%-0.83%2.03%

    200642006 4T-0.88%-0.23%1.96%

    200712007 1T0.62%0.18%2.88%

    200722007 2T1.43%0.70%4.13%

    200732007 3T-1.47%1.14%3.61%

    200742007 4T1.52%0.80%3.30%

    200812008 1T1.66%1.44%4.55%

    200822008 2T-2.19%-0.18%2.62%

    200832008 3T-1.38%-1.25%1.91%

    200842008 4T-0.54%0.09%2.96%

    200912009 1T-0.91%-0.97%0.84%

    200922009 2T0.96%-0.46%1.32%

    200932009 3T1.99%-0.35%0.67%

    200942009 4T-2.88%-1.04%0.31%

    201012010 1T-1.78%-0.83%0.85%

    201022010 2T-2.32%-0.48%0.67%

    201032010 3T-0.30%0.14%1.58%4.14%4.31%5.58%-3.30%-7.36%-8.96%-0.13%-0.36%0.61%-1.08%-0.30%1.89%-1.18%-0.17%1.73%1.17%3.10%4.24%1.45%1.22%-1.73%-0.27%

    201042010 4T0.19%0.49%2.01%1.58%1.52%3.62%-1.54%-2.19%-5.19%0.75%1.38%2.52%0.85%0.88%2.57%-0.64%-0.08%1.81%-1.66%-1.42%0.13%1.51%2.07%-3.07%1.05%

    201112011 1T2.25%1.93%3.92%0.90%1.29%3.70%4.95%3.94%5.10%3.97%3.28%5.33%1.92%1.24%3.37%0.33%0.97%3.15%0.18%0.88%3.46%1.95%2.38%1.11%1.49%-2.41%-0.25%-0.84%-1.28%

    201122011 2T2.72%2.12%4.11%-0.30%-0.27%2.67%7.04%8.45%10.27%4.79%4.11%6.25%2.85%1.75%4.11%-0.63%-0.14%2.45%-0.20%0.77%2.61%1.95%2.95%1.67%0.36%-2.81%3.12%-0.86%-2.17%

    201132011 3T1.82%1.55%3.61%-0.22%0.13%2.71%3.30%4.42%6.35%2.61%2.35%4.99%1.83%1.31%4.07%-0.96%-0.22%1.48%1.37%2.35%4.16%2.02%2.58%1.84%0.44%0.62%0.76%-1.08%2.22%

    201142011 4T-5.04%-1.10%0.98%-1.61%-1.65%0.87%-9.45%0.37%1.52%-8.72%-2.67%-0.28%0.72%1.05%3.29%-1.11%-0.36%0.85%-1.78%-0.58%0.68%2.10%2.55%1.14%0.51%2.30%2.14%-1.07%0.47%

    201212012 1T-1.11%-0.95%1.29%-2.60%-2.81%0.23%1.79%4.80%6.96%-1.11%-1.29%1.21%0.10%1.03%3.49%-1.47%-1.38%0.69%-1.82%-1.59%-0.24%2.26%3.13%2.07%-1.42%3.04%1.57%-0.26%-0.35%

    201222012 2T-1.22%-0.30%1.55%-2.44%-2.84%-0.20%0.40%5.91%8.53%-2.03%-0.75%1.51%-0.91%0.46%3.30%-0.95%-1.51%0.18%1.52%2.40%2.84%1.86%2.72%2.47%2.44%-0.57%1.94%-1.66%-3.40%1.61%

    201232012 3T-2.33%-0.79%2.02%-2.57%-2.58%0.73%-2.15%2.67%5.81%-3.30%-1.72%0.91%-1.41%0.16%2.51%-0.83%-0.67%2.31%0.64%1.04%4.32%2.83%3.39%3.06%4.44%-1.55%-0.76%-4.00%-1.52%-7.36%

    201242012 4T5.19%2.40%4.63%0.88%0.85%3.46%11.19%6.54%10.34%9.30%4.48%7.57%2.02%2.94%5.41%-0.48%-0.27%2.05%1.54%0.78%3.01%2.18%2.59%3.57%4.44%-2.17%2.29%3.58%0.17%2.66%

    201312013 1T2.52%1.64%3.12%0.82%0.53%2.38%5.67%4.80%6.82%4.86%3.33%5.16%0.25%0.69%3.51%-0.28%-0.38%0.87%1.97%1.91%4.12%1.46%1.84%1.92%2.29%-0.81%1.97%2.39%0.21%1.40%

    201322013 2T-0.95%0.08%2.70%0.52%0.71%3.48%-2.86%-1.34%-0.19%-1.43%-0.07%1.56%-1.05%0.01%2.47%0.47%1.39%4.30%-1.26%-1.73%1.93%2.62%2.76%1.17%2.28%0.33%2.70%2.22%2.93%1.49%

    201332013 3T-10.33%-1.05%-0.47%0.05%-0.18%1.17%-17.61%-2.66%-5.06%-16.17%-1.99%-2.72%-0.39%0.01%1.74%-0.54%-0.42%0.50%-0.52%-0.37%0.86%0.59%1.35%-2.47%2.28%0.27%0.32%10.19%0.71%7.98%

    201342013 4T22.92%5.16%4.91%-3.18%-3.02%-1.24%55.89%25.71%32.90%43.03%13.75%14.46%-0.48%-2.22%-1.03%-0.83%-0.61%0.24%-0.08%-0.02%2.85%-0.24%1.83%5.72%2.28%-0.56%3.52%-2.55%-0.61%-0.01%

    201412014 1T1.30%3.34%2.91%-2.27%-2.31%-0.25%7.60%18.87%18.08%2.43%4.79%4.44%1.11%0.90%2.66%-0.47%-0.26%0.90%0.48%9.04%5.49%-0.42%2.12%-0.67%102.28%-1.78%5.17%0.65%-1.28%1.49%

    201422014 2T4.51%5.26%4.60%-2.01%-1.99%0.07%13.26%21.81%21.82%8.05%8.67%8.64%2.75%1.84%3.60%-0.70%-0.33%0.44%0.63%9.12%6.29%-0.63%2.10%0.01%202.28%-1.67%6.46%2.93%-0.55%0.42%

    Embauches - Contrats

    Nombre d’intentions d’embauches par type de contrat et par sexe

    TrimestreTODECDD HORS TODECDI

    HFTOTHFTOTHFTOT

    2008 3T263421171070434,49190,24456,599146,84314,1827,44721,629

    2008 4T11295180219193,17037,65527,56465,21911,3097,33818,647

    2009 1T6228138621100,90236,35225,14361,49518,73810,38029,118

    2009 2T10737485374192,74854,33835,24389,58110,3255,15415,479

    2009 3T286288177120463,408100,45361,209161,66212,1076,26218,369

    2009 4T10483570370175,20541,05129,95471,0059,8785,15115,029

    2010 1T586423491393,55536,74225,75562,49720,02710,29230,319

    2010 2T10079379737180,53056,11936,58792,70610,3035,38415,687

    2010 3T305780185817491,59798,16758,843157,01010,9165,73616,652

    2010 4T9429664005158,30144,16730,24974,4169,7115,58115,292

    2011 1T6396839497103,46544,75728,44873,20516,5629,08725,649

    2011 2T11811189645207,75660,63939,609100,24810,1785,13415,312

    2011 3T304148186980491,12899,73660,141159,87712,1336,82018,953

    2011 4T8695557119144,07448,58831,77280,3609,7405,40815,148

    2012 1T6421339188103,40146,15329,84575,99817,2458,87026,115

    2012 2T10387678388182,26458,32336,67594,9989,5584,44614,004

    2012 3T298095179395477,490104,58160,028164,60911,7216,07217,793

    2012 4T9856160829159,39051,26232,49383,75510,3915,74516,136

    2013 1T6921740064109,28145,87029,64675,51616,0717,82223,893

    2013 2T10992079454189,37459,62236,32595,94710,0884,92215,010

    2013 3T274880167642442,522102,35358,832161,18512,3206,21918,539

    2013 4T202424116258318,68255,42133,98789,40810,4435,46015,903

    2014 1T7884244755123,59751,95732,74484,70118,99110,72329,714

    2014 2T13452093609228,12966,90841,133108,04110,9275,51116,438

    2014 3T378192224879603,071108,14562,324170,46913,2877,05020,337

    Embauches - secteurs

    Nombre d’intentions d’embauches par grand secteur d’activité

    TrimestreProductionTransformationTertiaireAutres secteurs

    TODECDD Hors TODECDITotalTODECDD Hors TODECDITotalTODECDD Hors TODECDITotalTODECDD Hors TODECDITotal

    2008 3T423,55065,8748,152497,5765,09133,8093,81642,71695518,2763,56422,7954,89528,8846,09739,876

    2008 4T187,73935,1427,518230,3992,67110,7922,86616,3295625,3352,8698,7662,19813,9505,39421,542

    2009 1T97,93031,2869,979139,1951,1959,8684,88315,9463975,8837,03313,3131,38014,4587,22323,061

    2009 2T187,78046,2356,694240,7091,94316,7322,39521,0706186,8122,4379,8672,40719,8023,95326,162

    2009 3T452,21080,6577,238540,1056,00834,5423,32143,87196817,0352,77020,7734,22229,4285,04038,690

    2009 4T170,65840,4276,786217,8712,4379,8882,19314,5183345,4212,1227,8771,77615,2693,92820,973

    2010 1T90,69031,96410,791133,4451,3949,9398,56119,8942675,9275,55511,7491,20414,6675,41221,283

    2010 2T175,37049,7726,490231,6322,58314,8492,29519,7275697,3463,09811,0132,00820,7393,80426,551

    2010 3T475,27874,9786,196556,45211,42433,5152,84847,78754818,0062,65821,2124,34730,5114,95039,808

    2010 4T154,08942,1396,089202,3172,45010,4592,65015,5592705,8033,0629,1351,49216,0153,49120,998

    2011 1T100,43039,5758,941148,9461,74411,0516,97619,7712476,1334,07710,4571,04416,4465,65523,145

    2011 2T202,51453,1016,318261,9332,89717,9502,51023,3574907,9392,59411,0231,85521,2583,89027,003

    2011 3T475,22978,7636,890560,88211,13831,7633,50146,40269917,7673,25821,7244,06231,5845,30440,950

    2011 4T140,07647,4126,472193,9602,28510,2552,47815,0181705,6722,3938,2351,54317,0213,80522,369

    2012 1T100,08440,9119,887150,8821,90111,3086,38019,5892166,2614,46710,9441,20017,5185,38124,099

    2012 2T177,40450,6826,051234,1372,67714,4822,36219,5214457,6691,93410,0481,73822,1653,65727,560

    2012 3T461,61778,3037,139547,05910,53034,5373,04748,11490317,9262,49621,3254,44033,8435,11143,394

    2012 4T154,37947,4066,321208,1062,65910,9743,58417,2173026,3422,5929,2362,05019,0333,63924,722

    2013 1T105,40540,1399,893155,4372,05510,6675,47118,1932036,6743,0729,9491,61818,0365,45725,111

    2013 2T184,26550,2316,632241,1282,61814,0292,32518,9724557,6482,38010,4832,03624,0393,67329,748

    2013 3T430,42873,6407,609511,6776,65334,6153,10544,37396218,5312,66522,1584,47934,3995,16044,038

    2013 4T305,09149,1456,726360,96210,13613,9802,57726,6938016,7202,75810,2792,65419,5633,84226,059

    2014 1T119,38242,51210,453172,3472,27912,6106,06520,9543178,5757,33116,2231,61921,0045,86528,488

    2014 2T221,93953,8086,743282,4903,26418,8842,95525,1036099,5202,93913,0682,31725,8293,80131,947

    2014 3T588,18280,2227,885676,2898,65135,4663,60647,7231,34119,6523,78524,7784,89735,1295,06145,087

    Population des cotisants NSA

    Evolution de la population des non-salariés agricoles de 2010 à 2014

    Type d'actif non salarié agricole20102011201220132014

    Nombre de chefs d'exploitation ou d'entreprise496,354489,218483,815478,692473,862

    Evolution--1.40%-1.10%-1.10%-1.00%

    Dont nombre de chefs d'exploitation458,586451,308445,793440,921438,476

    Evolution --1.60%-1.20%-1.10%-0.60%

    Dont nombre de chefs d'entreprise37,76837,91038,02237,77135,386

    Evolution-0.40%0.30%-0.70%-6.30%

    Nombre d'aides familiaux5,5625,4774,9634,5864,103

    Evolution--1.50%-9.40%-7.60%-10.60%

    Nombre de conjoints46,78043,96841,32438,88435,967

    Evolution--6.00%-6.00%-5.90%-7.50%

    Chefs d'exploitations- secteurs

    Evolution du nombre de chefs d’exploitation ou d’entreprise agricole par grand secteur d’activité

    SECTEUR D'ACTIVITEEffectifs 2013Ecart entrants/ sortantsChangements de secteur dans le régimeEffectifs 2014Evol.

    Cultures spécialisées29,49116-36629,141-1.19%

    Cultures céréalières et industrielles82,8669623183,1930.39%

    Viticulture49,198-1856949,082-0.24%

    Bovins lait et mixtes101,009-1,591-51098,908-2.08%

    Bovins viande, ovins, caprins79,386-603-7278,711-0.85%

    Elevage hors-sol24,798-15-2324,760-0.15%

    Equidés12,7381942912,9611.75%

    Polyculture-élevage60,108-33564460,4170.51%

    ETA, paysagistes34,666682634,7600.27%

    Autres1,926-17201,9290.16%

    Artisans ruraux exclusifs2,506-2458-480-100.00%

    TOTAL478,692-4,8300473,862-1.01%

    m93cgaiPièce jointeConjoncture 33 volet 1.xlsx

  • 2

    Conjoncture agricole - Prix agricoles et échanges agroalimentaires

    Au 4e trimestre 2014, la baisse des prix agricoles à la production s’accélère…

    A l’exception de la viticulture, des œufs et des légumes, le repli du prix des produits agricoles (-5,5 % sur un an) affecte

    l’ensemble des productions agricoles.

    Bien que les cours se redressent légèrement en fin d’année, les prix des céréales et des oléagineux fléchissent toujours. Ils

    baissent respectivement de -7,9 % et -9,8 % sur un an. Les récoltes mondiales, qui fixent les prix, ont été abondantes.

    Graphique 1 : Prix à la production des principaux produits agricoles

    Tableau 1 : Prix agricoles à la production

    Evolution en % sur un an 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014 T3

    2014 T4

    Indice général brut 12,8 5,9 1,4 -5,0 -5,1 -5,5

    Céréales (18,8%) 35,1 5,8 -9,4 -13,8 -11,4 -7,9

    Vins (17,7%) 5,9 1,7 10,7 9,7 10,6 4,5

    Lait (14,7%) 7,7 -2,8 7,2 6,8 3,8 -4,7

    Gros bovins (9,6%) 7,2 14,1 5,3 -5,7 -7,0 -6,4

    Porcins (5,4%) 13,0 10,0 1,7 -8,4 -12,1 -16,5

    Légumes frais (5,3%) -12,9 10,8 1,2 -7,7 -0,7 5,1

    Oléagineux (4,9%) -12,9 10,8 1,2 -7,7 -14,4 -9,8

    Volailles (4,6%) 13,7 1,8 5,7 -6,7 -5,7 -6,1

    Fruits frais (3,5%) -3,2 12,1 12,3 -18,6 -23,8 -12,5

    Pommes de terre (2,6%) 20,8 -0,5 62,2 -40,4 -48,8 -42,6

    Œufs (1,5%) 11,6 52,1 -34,0 3,2 14,0 8,2

    Source : Insee Note: Les chiffres entre parenthèses indiquent pour chaque groupe de produits sa pondération dans le calcul de l’indice général

    Les prix des vins continuent de croître mais à un rythme plus

    modéré (+4,5% après +10,6%). L’inflexion tient notamment à un potentiel de production viticole 2014 estimé en hausse par rapport aux années 2012 et 2013.

    En dépit d'une offre relativement limitée, la baisse des prix des principales productions animales se prolonge. Sur un an, le prix des porcins recule de -16,5 % en lien avec la quasi fermeture du marché russe. Pour les gros bovins, le repli s’établit à -6,4 %, en

    léger ralentissement par rapport au trimestre précédent.

    Une demande intérieure et extérieure dynamique conjuguée à une offre relativement réduite explique la progression des prix des légumes en fin d’année (+5,1 % sur un an).

    …le recul du prix des consommations intermédiaires s’accentue légèrement

    Dans un contexte de recul des cours des matières premières et d'abondance de l'offre fourragère, les prix des aliments pour animaux diminuent sensiblement sur un an (-7,3 %).

    Les prix de l’énergie et lubrifiants restent orientés à la baisse

    (-10,1 %). Le prix des carburants, qui représentent plus de 60% de ce poste, recule notamment de -12,6 % sur un an.

    Le recul du prix des engrais et amendements ralentit à -3,1 %

    après un repli de -3,5 % au 3e trimestre.

    Le prix des investissements diminue de -0,1 %, les prix des

    tracteurs évoluent notamment de -1,9 % sur un an.

    Tableau 2 : Prix d’achat des moyens de production agricole

    Evolution en % sur un an 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014 T3

    2014 T4

    Indice général 9,2 3,3 1,5 -3,1 -1,8 -2,2

    Aliments des animaux (20,5 %) 18,6 6,5 5,2 -7,6 -6,8 -7,3

    Energie et lubrifiants (10,0 %) 18,2 3,1 -1,6 -4,1 -3,1 -10,1

    Engrais et amendements (9,2 %) 23,7 4,1 -5,1 -4,7 -3,5 3,1

    Semences et plants (6,6 %) 0,7 3,4 3,7 0,4 0,4 -0,2

    Biens d'investissement (25,3%) 2,5 1,4 1,8 0,6 0,4 -0,1

    Source : Insee Note: Les chiffres entre parenthèses indiquent pour chaque groupe de produits sa pondération dans le calcul de l’indice général

    Tableau 3 : Echanges agroalimentaires

    En M€

    Import. Export. Solde

    2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 Evol.

    Produits bruts et transformés 48 886 48 660 60 139 57 892 11 253 9 233 -2 020

    Produits bruts 12 168 11 916 16 415 14 669 4 247 2 753 -1 494

    dont céréales 1 741 1 722 9 379 7 810 7 638 6 088 -1 550

    dont légumes 2 849 2 775 2 299 2 058 -550 -717 -167

    dont fruits 5 390 5 216 1 755 1 806 -3 635 -3 410 225

    Produits transformés 36 718 36 743 43 724 43 224 7 006 6 480 -526

    dont boissons 3 029 3 025 13 747 13 465 10 718 10 440 -278

    dont prod. de l’abattage 5 726 5 650 4 844 4 542 -882 -1108 -226

    dont autres prod. alimentaires 6 852 7 220 7 640 7 697 788 477 -311

    dont produits laitiers 3 368 3 528 6 612 7 021 3 244 3 493 249

    Source : AGRESTE, SSP Note: Les regroupements sont opérés selon la classification des produits français

    en vigueur depuis 2008 (CPF rév. 2)

    Une baisse des prix qui pèse sur l’excédent des échanges agroalimentaires

    En 2014, l’excédent des échanges agroalimentaires s’établit à

    9,2 milliards d’euros, en recul de 2,0 milliards d’euros par rapport à 2013.

    La valeur des exportations de produits agroalimentaires se contracte de -3,7 %, alors que les importations restent stables au cours de la période (-0,5 % en valeur).

    L’excédent en produits bruts atteint 2,8 Md€ contre 4,2 Md€ en 2013. Le solde des échanges en produits transformés s’établit

    quant à lui à 6,5 Md€ contre 7,0 Md€ un an plus tôt.

    Le solde des échanges en céréales contribue pour -1,6 Md€ à

    l’évolution de l’excédent global des échanges agroalimentaires. Les exportations de boissons se réduisent par ailleurs de

    -0,3 Md€ sur un an. Ce repli s’explique par la diminution des ventes de vins à destination du Royaume-Uni et de spiritueux à destination de l’Asie.

    Contact : Alexis Guyonvarch - DERS Mission Synthèses – [email protected]

    40

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    180

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

    Indice général (IPPAP)

    Céréales (18,8%)

    Vins (17,7%)

    Lait (14,7%)

    Gros bovins (9,6%)

    Base 100 en 2010

    Source : Insee Note: Les chiffres entre parenthèses indiquent pour chaque groupe de produits sa pondération dans le calcul de l’indice général

    file://FS01.ccmsa.int.msanet/ders/STATISTIQUES/COMMUN_STATISTIQUES/I-Dossiers_communs/réunion%20conjoncture%20DERS/notes%20trimestrielles%20conjoncture/Notes%202014/Note%20N°29/[email protected]

  • 3

    Emploi des salariés agricoles au 2e trimestre 2014

    Au 2e trimestre 2014, le volume de l’emploi reste dans le vert, en dépit du recul durable du secteur Tertiaire

    Avec une croissance de +5,3 %, le volume global d’heures travaillées est soutenu ce trimestre tant par un recours accru aux

    heures supplémentaires de saisonniers que par des conditions météorologiques favorables. Les CDD progressent de +21,8 % tandis que les CDI régressent de -2,3 %. Ces évolutions témoignent d’une précarisation du statut du salarié agricole puisque seuls les contrats les moins sécurisés (CDD, saisonniers dits « TODE ») augmentent.

    Dans le secteur de la Production, le volume d’heures bondit de

    +8,7 %. Le phénomène de substitution des CDI (-1,8%) par les CDD (+21,7%) persiste au cours de la période.

    Dans le secteur de la Transformation, le nombre d’heures

    progresse plus modérément (+1,8 %). Les évolutions par contrat restent contrastées: +21,1% pour les CDD; et -1,8% pour les CDI.

    Avec une évolution de +9,1 %, le secteur des «Autres activités»

    enregistre la plus forte croissance. Les CDD, dont une large part concerne les paysagistes, progressent de +28,9 %, les CDI reculant de -2,3 %.

    Le secteur Tertiaire reste dans le rouge et se replie de

    -0,3 % (+12,4 % CDD ; -2,2 % CDI).

    Graphique 1 : Evolution du nombre d’heures de travail

    Source : CCMSA

    L’emploi reste dynamique sauf dans le secteur Tertiaire

    Le nombre de contrats actifs au cours du trimestre, indicateur

    de la dynamique de l’emploi, s’accroît de +4,5 %. Les CDD progressent de +13,3 %, tandis que les CDI reculent de -2,0 %. Ces évolutions, de sens opposé, valident le précédent constat : le phénomène de substitution des CDI au profit des CDD persiste au cours de la période.

    Le nombre de contrats actifs au cours du trimestre dans le secteur de la Production augmente de +8,0 %. Cette croissance résulte

    de deux évolutions contrastées : les contrats en CDI s’infléchissent de -1,6 %, ceux en CDD s’accroissant de + 14,3%.

    Le secteur de la Transformation enregistre une progression du

    nombre de contrats actifs, avec +2,7 % (+20,9 % en CDD et -1,9 % en CDI).

    Le secteur des « Autres activités » affiche une évolution du

    nombre de contrats actifs bien inférieure à celle du nombre d’heures, avec +0,6 % ; +5,5 % pour les CDD et -2,2 % pour les CDI.

    Dans le secteur Tertiaire, l’évolution du nombre de contrats actifs

    est négative, -0,7 %, associée à une progression de +8,1 % en CDD et un fléchissement de -2,5 % en CDI.

    Graphique 2 : Evolution de la masse salariale

    Source : CCMSA

    La masse salariale progresse, alimentée par la croissance du nombre d’heures travaillées

    La masse salariale globale s’accroît de +4,6 %. Dans le secteur de la Production, elle bondit de +8,6 %. Dans le secteur de la Transformation, elle croît de +3,6 %. Le Tertiaire enregistre une légère hausse de +0,4 %. La masse salariale des « Autres activités » augmente de +6,3 %.

    Le salaire horaire moyen apparent régresse

    Le salaire horaire moyen apparent baisse (-0,6 %). La

    substitution des CDI au profit des CDD et la modification de la structure de la population agricole, notamment dans les secteurs de la Transformation et du Tertiaire, du fait de la hausse des départs en retraite, concourent à cette baisse.

    Pour les CDI, le salaire horaire global croît de +2,1 %. L’évolution

    du salaire horaire global est supérieure à celle du Smic, entre +1,5 % et +3,0 %, pour les quatre secteurs agricoles.

    Pour les CDD, l’évolution globale est nulle et contrastée par secteur : la Transformation (16,60 €), la Production (11,65 €) et le Tertiaire (19,18 €) progressant respectivement de +2,0 %, +0,7 % et +0,2 %, le secteur des « Autres activités » (11,22 €)

    reculant de -0,7 %. Le salaire horaire global relativement faible du secteur « Autres activités » s’explique par la proportion importante de contrats d’apprentissage et d’insertion rémunérés en-dessous du Smic légal.

    Sigles cités : TODE : Travailleurs Occasionnels-Demandeurs d’Emploi ; CDD : Contrats à Durée Déterminée ; CDI : Contrats à Durée Indéterminée. Contact : Nadia El Fettahi - DERS Cotisations – [email protected]

    Télécharger les données au format Excel :

    139

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    151

    56

    82

    49

    338

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    50

    100

    150

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    250

    300

    350

    400

    Production Transformation Tertiaire Autres activités Total

    En millions

    2T 2013

    2T 2014

    + 5,3 %

    + 8,7 %

    + 1,8 % - 0,3 %

    + 9,1 %

    1 614

    900

    1 563

    521

    4 598

    1 754

    932

    1 569

    554

    4 810

    0

    1 000

    2 000

    3 000

    4 000

    5 000

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    Production Transformation Tertiaire Autres activités Total

    2T 2013

    2T 2014

    + 4,6 %

    + 8,6 %

    + 3,6 %

    + 0,4 %

    + 6,3 %

    En millions d'euros

    mailto:[email protected] 33

    Juin 2015

    Conjoncture n° 33 - volet 1

    DIRECTION DES ETUDES, DES REPERTOIRES

    ET DES STATISTIQUES

    Directeur de la publication :

    Alain PELC

    Département "Mission synthèses et diffusion"

    Responsable : David Foucaud

    foucaud.david@ccmsa;msa.fr

    Réalisé par :

    [email protected]

    [email protected]

    [email protected]

    mailto:foucaud.david@ccmsa;msa.frmailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://///FS01.ccmsa.int.msanet/ders/STATISTIQUES/COMMUN_STATISTIQUES/I-Dossiers_communs/réunion%20conjoncture%20DERS/notes%20trimestrielles%20conjoncture/Notes%202014/Note%20N°29/[email protected]

    IPPAP

    Tableau 1 : Indice des prix des produits agricoles à la production

    Evolution en % sur un an20112012201320142014 T12014 T22014T32014 T4

    Indice général brut12.85.91.4-5.0-4.9-5.0-5.1-5.5

    Céréales (18,8%)35.15.8-9.4-13.8-19.5-14.9-11.4-7.9

    Vins (17,7%)5.91.710.79.712.214.210.64.5

    Lait (14,7%)7.7-2.87.26.816.573.8-4.7

    Gros bovins (9,6%)7.214.15.3-5.7-3.4-6.1-7-6.4

    Porcins (5,4%)13.71.81.7-8.4-6.82.5-12.1-16.5

    Légumes frais (5,3%)13101.2-7.7-15.2-17.9-0.75.1

    Oléagineux (4,9%)-12.910.81.2-7.7-20.9-19.5-14.4-9.8

    Volailles (4,6%)18145.7-6.7-7.9-7.2-5.7-6.1

    Fruits frais (3,5%)-3.212.112.3-18.6-17.5-18.4-23.8-12.5

    Pommes de terre (2,6%)20.8-0.562.2-40.4-22.3-42.1-48.8-42.6

    Œufs (1,5%)11.652.1-343.2-12.87.7148.2

    Source : Insee

    Note: Les chiffres entre parenthèses indiquent pour chaque groupe de produits sa pondération dans le calcul de l’indice général

    IPAMPA

    Tableau 2 : Indice des prix des produits agricoles à la production

    Evolution en % sur un an 20112012201320142014 T12014 T22014T32014 T4

    Indice général9.23.31.5-3.1-3.0-2.0-1.8-2.2

    Aliments des animaux (20,5 %)18.66.55.2-7.6-9.1-7.2-6.8-7.3

    Energie et lubrifiants (10,0 %)18.23.1-1.6-4.1-3.0-0.2-3.1-10.1

    Engrais et amendements (9,2 %)23.74.1-5.1-4.7-10.3-6.9-3.53.1

    Semences et plants (6,6 %)0.73.43.70.41.00.40.2-0.2

    Biens d'investissement (25,3%)2.51.41.80.61.10.80.5-0.1

    Source : Insee

    Note: Les chiffres entre parenthèses indiquent pour chaque groupe de produits sa pondération dans le calcul de l’indice général

    Echanges AA

    Tableau 3 : Evolution des échanges agroalimentaires par groupes de produits

    En M€Import.Export.Solde

    201320142013201420132014Evol.

    Produits bruts et transformés48,88648,66060,13957,89211,2539,233-2,020

    Produits bruts12,16811,91616,41514,6694,2472,753-1,494

    dont céréales1,7411,7229,3797,8107,6386,088-1,550

    dont légumes2,8492,7752,2992,058-550-717-167

    dont fruits5,3905,2161,7551,806-3,635-3,410225

    Produits transformés36,71836,74343,72443,2247,0066,480-526

    dont boissons3,0293,02513,74713,46510,71810,440-278

    dont prod. de l’abattage5,7265,6504,8444,542-882-1108-226

    dont autres prod. alimentaires6,8527,2207,6407,697788477-311

    dont produits laitiers3,3683,5286,6127,0213,2443,493249

    source:Agreste, SSP

    EMPLOI SA

    ENSEMBLE DES CONTRATS Total des CDITotal des CDDPRODUCTIONTRANSFORMATIONTERTIAIREAUTRESSALAIRE HORAIREFIN DE TRIMESTRE

    ANNEETRIMESTREPERIODEContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireAgricoleCDICDDSmic horaire brut Déflaté par le SmicProductionTransformationTertiaireAutres

    200232002 3T1,381,351.00349,832,049.003,717,314,272.00568,413.00223,432,214.002,725,740,740.00812,938.00126,399,835.00991,573,532.00865,424.00162,404,402.001,416,694,830.00178,888.0065,364,079.00764,716,701.00222,742.0084,204,395.001,199,494,148.00114,297.0037,859,173.00336,408,593.0010.6312.207.846.671.59

    200242002 4T1,112,439.00319,349,977.003,949,482,035.00567,476.00222,479,405.003,171,453,571.00544,963.0096,870,572.00778,028,464.00640,243.00137,773,359.001,291,858,508.00157,065.0061,660,613.00890,805,208.00209,845.0082,193,678.001,421,049,398.00105,286.0037,722,327.00345,768,921.0012.3714.268.036.831.81

    200312003 1T866,290.00301,413,173.003,444,876,063.00563,166.00221,723,732.002,855,727,189.00303,124.0079,689,441.00589,148,874.00410,184.00123,431,783.001,087,175,927.00145,204.0059,155,936.00719,482,006.00209,931.0082,234,641.001,311,480,435.00100,971.0036,590,813.00326,737,695.0011.4312.887.396.831.67

    200322003 2T1,009,965.00321,093,809.003,591,591,032.00564,495.00223,619,301.002,845,054,124.00445,470.0097,474,508.00746,536,908.00537,948.00140,157,550.001,235,511,468.00153,674.0060,123,228.00748,858,567.00211,490.0082,340,268.001,256,688,057.00106,853.0038,472,763.00350,532,940.0011.1912.727.666.831.64

    200332003 3T1,442,795.00348,731,579.003,830,295,608.00564,793.00222,845,803.002,805,021,950.00878,002.00125,885,776.001,025,273,658.00931,341.00162,157,449.001,473,918,838.00174,400.0064,400,803.00779,322,873.00222,587.0083,816,914.001,225,299,334.00114,467.0038,356,413.00351,754,563.0010.9812.598.146.831.61

    200342003 4T991,170.00312,113,661.003,988,822,661.00570,156.00226,549,112.003,286,653,206.00421,014.0085,564,549.00702,169,455.00521,714.00128,652,042.001,254,700,323.00150,803.0060,084,907.00899,829,850.00211,647.0084,789,566.001,467,353,796.00107,006.0038,587,146.00366,938,692.0012.7814.518.217.191.78

    200412004 1T865,898.00301,042,756.003,569,596,017.00579,081.00228,494,984.003,028,699,002.00286,817.0072,547,772.00540,897,015.00410,461.00123,390,710.001,128,411,308.00143,404.0058,505,533.00731,986,956.00208,352.0081,437,107.001,360,983,850.00103,681.0037,709,406.00348,213,903.0011.8613.257.467.191.65

    200422004 2T1,003,807.00319,120,954.003,676,093,704.00582,434.00230,069,480.002,982,886,977.00421,373.0089,051,474.00693,206,727.00528,935.00137,898,761.001,262,327,052.00149,648.0059,187,394.00756,221,185.00215,156.0082,334,789.001,283,136,899.00110,068.0039,700,010.00374,408,568.0011.5212.977.787.191.60

    200432004 3T1,347,377.00345,997,768.003,933,589,024.00576,787.00228,292,742.002,935,332,796.00770,590.00117,705,026.00998,256,228.00836,338.00159,444,831.001,515,893,353.00171,071.0063,480,800.00790,400,695.00222,951.0083,645,946.001,255,094,309.00117,017.0039,426,191.00372,200,667.0011.3712.868.487.191.58

    200442004 4T1,130,879.00318,510,304.004,196,798,505.00567,400.00224,413,248.003,376,957,678.00563,479.0094,097,056.00819,840,827.00655,121.00136,602,407.001,384,760,407.00154,896.0060,453,377.00929,578,735.00211,406.0081,623,614.001,492,427,622.00109,456.0039,830,906.00390,031,741.0013.1815.058.717.611.73

    200512005 1T870,567.00299,170,951.003,657,740,147.00565,387.00222,853,135.003,048,994,301.00305,180.0076,317,816.00608,745,846.00414,413.00121,761,621.001,157,901,279.00141,561.0058,004,993.00750,734,472.00208,690.0080,648,509.001,379,046,712.00105,903.0038,755,828.00370,057,684.0012.2313.687.987.611.61

    200522005 2T1,013,676.00318,862,498.003,802,940,544.00570,314.00225,146,288.003,029,354,696.00443,362.0093,716,210.00773,585,848.00538,165.00137,863,018.001,312,640,839.00147,922.0058,613,532.00775,725,547.00214,286.0081,338,684.001,312,057,396.00113,303.0041,047,264.00402,516,762.0011.9313.468.257.611.57

    200532005 3T1,404,194.00345,623,159.004,071,799,789.00574,972.00226,986,529.003,021,364,882.00829,222.00118,636,630.001,050,434,907.00889,436.00158,539,479.001,576,316,733.00171,108.0063,350,120.00813,488,208.00222,846.0082,910,575.001,285,384,276.00120,804.0040,822,985.00396,610,572.0011.7813.318.857.611.55

    200542005 4T1,051,585.00312,847,269.004,267,809,103.00572,482.00226,403,677.003,511,523,479.00479,103.0086,443,592.00756,285,624.00577,165.00129,348,347.001,366,080,666.00150,862.0060,375,042.00954,113,078.00211,003.0081,440,438.001,524,050,059.00112,555.0041,683,442.00423,565,300.0013.6415.518.758.031.70

    200612006 1T853,996.00296,839,878.003,746,213,928.00565,247.00222,685,198.003,138,727,026.00288,749.0074,154,680.00607,486,902.00396,913.00118,287,117.001,171,963,755.00139,087.0057,289,650.00759,406,458.00209,174.0080,841,396.001,414,833,345.00108,822.0040,421,715.00400,010,370.0012.6214.098.198.031.57

    200622006 2T996,078.00316,374,814.003,885,813,424.00564,710.00223,362,278.003,087,272,610.00431,368.0093,012,536.00798,540,814.00520,494.00134,170,097.001,334,562,722.00146,222.0058,143,886.00787,577,950.00213,197.0081,346,481.001,332,106,575.00116,165.0042,714,350.00431,566,177.0012.2813.828.598.031.53

    200632006 3T1,380,200.00342,769,635.004,154,416,315.00560,211.00221,518,613.003,035,690,979.00819,989.00121,251,022.001,118,725,336.00865,034.00154,985,484.001,592,508,217.00166,229.0062,110,338.00816,898,640.00224,887.0083,227,416.001,317,435,697.00124,050.0042,446,397.00427,573,761.0012.1213.709.238.031.51

    200642006 4T1,042,335.00312,139,023.004,351,520,149.00556,212.00220,056,033.003,508,690,935.00486,123.0092,082,990.00842,829,214.00568,100.00128,429,047.001,400,731,283.00146,848.0058,734,587.00949,962,873.00213,200.0082,159,175.001,561,590,150.00114,187.0042,816,214.00439,235,843.0013.9415.949.158.271.69

    200712007 1T859,252.00297,385,671.003,854,027,536.00552,530.00218,141,406.003,174,228,309.00306,722.0079,244,265.00679,799,227.00398,800.00117,839,025.001,207,192,883.00137,577.0056,541,731.00772,626,563.00211,019.0081,377,508.001,451,471,044.00111,856.0041,627,407.00422,737,046.0012.9614.558.588.271.57

    200722007 2T1,010,339.00318,585,051.004,046,133,159.00556,686.00219,454,197.003,156,161,883.00453,653.0099,130,854.00889,971,276.00527,607.00135,070,349.001,390,449,444.00144,808.0057,644,018.00800,680,459.00219,727.0082,286,323.001,404,668,966.00118,197.0043,584,361.00450,334,290.0012.7014.388.988.271.54

    200732007 3T1,359,865.00346,678,954.004,304,522,336.00559,449.00222,100,905.003,130,640,380.00800,416.00124,578,049.001,173,881,956.00833,088.00154,243,801.001,621,332,636.00166,911.0062,644,793.00842,856,201.00229,549.0085,268,672.001,381,134,142.00130,317.0044,521,688.00459,199,357.0012.4214.109.428.271.50

    200742007 4T1,058,221.00314,630,774.004,494,940,761.00549,909.00219,073,733.003,595,232,372.00508,312.0095,557,041.00899,708,389.00577,643.00129,406,848.001,448,200,755.00148,375.0058,946,811.00974,797,937.00215,579.0082,634,398.001,612,667,422.00116,624.0043,642,717.00459,274,647.0014.2916.419.428.441.69

    200812008 1T873,543.00301,671,464.004,029,295,565.00568,939.00224,832,572.003,354,942,002.00304,604.0076,838,892.00674,353,563.00404,127.00119,659,781.001,261,632,843.00141,184.0056,950,308.00801,822,806.00214,016.0082,208,915.001,521,586,408.00114,216.0042,852,460.00444,253,508.0013.3614.928.788.441.58

    200822008 2T988,249.00318,015,375.004,152,134,878.00566,103.00226,017,130.003,305,317,131.00422,146.0091,998,245.00846,817,747.00504,773.00133,079,179.001,419,872,409.00143,898.0057,048,774.00820,223,475.00218,427.0083,207,380.001,439,942,635.00121,151.0044,680,042.00472,096,359.0013.0614.629.208.441.55

    200832008 3T1,341,111.00342,357,585.004,386,659,642.00557,936.00221,685,261.003,190,364,749.00783,175.00120,672,324.001,196,294,893.00823,964.00152,549,324.001,661,589,786.00162,078.0061,266,896.00861,574,159.00226,691.0083,724,464.001,392,705,571.00128,378.0044,816,901.00470,790,126.0012.8114.399.918.631.48

    200842008 4T1,052,464.00314,924,337.004,627,911,299.00555,195.00221,046,423.003,680,841,509.00497,269.0093,877,914.00947,069,790.00574,096.00129,185,751.001,495,839,816.00146,067.0058,723,304.001,007,957,192.00215,085.0082,498,607.001,641,992,426.00117,216.0044,516,675.00482,121,865.0014.7016.6510.098.711.69

    200912009 1T865,586.00298,733,481.004,063,139,602.00555,646.00220,589,162.003,333,124,753.00309,940.0078,144,319.00730,014,849.00402,146.00118,330,691.001,279,156,307.00135,432.0055,743,002.00807,587,145.00216,174.0082,217,923.001,529,779,702.00111,834.0042,441,865.00446,616,448.0013.6015.119.348.711.56

    200922009 2T997,720.00316,553,127.004,206,793,354.00551,393.00219,849,704.003,268,917,871.00446,327.0096,703,423.00937,875,483.00524,276.00135,936,471.001,468,719,432.00134,315.0053,576,413.00792,518,175.00219,559.0082,500,329.001,462,832,038.00119,570.0044,539,914.00482,723,709.0013.2914.879.708.711.53

    200932009 3T1,367,813.00341,165,083.004,415,919,994.00552,284.00219,090,397.003,201,735,301.00815,529.00122,074,686.001,214,184,693.00859,105.00156,027,240.001,716,485,651.00155,411.0058,156,287.00825,409,196.00227,827.0083,579,497.001,412,526,616.00125,470.0043,402,059.00461,498,531.0012.9414.619.958.711.49

    200942009 4T1,022,186.00311,643,240.004,642,048,196.00566,200.00225,315,188.003,793,363,001.00455,986.0086,328,052.00848,685,195.00547,987.00128,004,778.001,493,609,827.00137,514.0055,069,018.00962,497,085.00216,239.0082,726,437.001,679,793,320.00120,446.0045,843,007.00506,147,964.0014.9016.849.838.821.69

    201012010 1T850,208.00296,262,087.004,097,727,638.00567,943.00225,118,312.003,460,361,831.00282,265.0071,143,775.00637,365,807.00395,712.00118,159,671.001,295,128,848.00129,437.0053,275,293.00792,969,416.00212,875.0081,869,287.001,555,491,462.00112,184.0042,957,836.00454,137,912.0013.8315.378.968.821.57302,480.00115,636.00198,121.0098,399.00

    201022010 2T974,552.00315,036,901.004,234,836,967.00573,533.00228,769,847.003,432,663,010.00401,019.0086,267,054.00802,173,957.00506,312.00134,138,847.001,473,788,079.00134,500.0053,946,575.00816,543,893.00215,590.0082,329,470.001,459,698,556.00118,150.0044,622,009.00484,806,439.0013.4415.009.308.861.52346,164.00118,092.00199,844.00100,795.00

    201032010 3T1,363,768.00341,626,074.004,485,893,182.00575,139.00228,530,031.003,380,468,359.00788,629.00113,096,043.001,105,424,823.00857,950.00155,461,263.001,726,933,647.00153,740.0057,983,328.00840,971,201.00225,141.0083,434,994.001,436,909,022.00126,937.0044,746,489.00481,079,312.0013.1314.799.778.861.48365,897.00120,886.00198,409.0097,918.00

    201042010 4T1,024,116.00313,180,314.004,735,474,073.00575,172.00228,740,853.003,930,806,300.00448,944.0084,439,461.00804,667,773.00552,118.00129,771,602.001,531,269,561.00138,689.0055,555,706.00987,206,276.00214,861.0082,661,957.001,710,183,214.00118,448.0045,191,049.00506,815,022.0015.1217.189.538.861.71257,665.00113,435.00199,726.0093,572.00

    201112011 1T869,318.00301,967,217.004,258,195,245.00573,079.00228,018,330.003,588,317,787.00296,239.0073,948,887.00669,877,458.00411,434.00122,029,657.001,364,113,190.00131,927.0053,933,834.00819,672,513.00213,572.0082,665,811.001,604,537,199.00112,385.0043,337,915.00469,872,343.0014.1015.749.068.861.59295,176.00115,344.00196,452.0097,137.00

    201122011 2T1,001,056.00321,719,549.004,408,924,072.00571,801.00228,159,361.003,524,376,754.00429,255.0093,560,188.00884,547,318.00530,575.00139,650,032.001,565,875,981.00138,333.0054,891,940.00850,120,101.00214,238.0082,210,239.001,495,491,572.00117,910.0044,967,338.00497,436,418.0013.7015.459.459.001.52336,426.00121,773.00198,124.0098,606.00

    201132011 3T1,388,549.00346,918,000.004,647,618,917.00573,896.00228,821,588.003,472,044,279.00814,653.00118,096,412.001,175,574,638.00880,348.00159,120,533.001,813,114,757.00156,551.0058,743,994.00875,224,806.00222,971.0083,253,410.001,458,166,453.00128,679.0045,800,063.00501,112,901.0013.4015.179.959.001.49368,161.00121,803.00196,262.00100,094.00

    201142011 4T972,463.00309,730,868.004,781,712,819.00565,935.00224,975,151.003,964,826,687.00406,528.0084,755,717.00816,886,132.00503,959.00126,302,538.001,526,928,354.00139,689.0056,140,519.001,019,733,090.00212,471.0082,360,702.001,724,793,281.00116,344.0044,927,109.00510,258,094.0015.4417.629.649.001.72263,584.00115,860.00197,586.0094,012.00

    201212012 1T859,705.00299,113,176.004,313,138,437.00558,159.00221,617,650.003,596,635,879.00301,546.0077,495,526.00716,502,558.00406,871.00120,454,002.001,380,569,876.00132,060.0054,487,524.00848,280,363.00210,430.0081,523,416.001,615,562,400.00110,344.0042,648,234.00468,725,798.0014.4216.239.259.191.57304,161.00117,158.00195,934.0096,800.00

    201222012 2T988,800.00320,766,020.004,477,479,546.00557,844.00221,673,191.003,517,444,428.00430,956.0099,092,829.00960,035,118.00519,823.00138,605,173.001,589,574,114.00137,081.0055,144,879.00878,134,256.00212,197.0080,971,019.001,498,203,525.00119,699.0046,044,949.00511,567,651.0013.9615.879.699.221.51342,950.00119,749.00191,397.00100,195.00

    201232012 3T1,356,252.00344,181,887.004,741,309,004.00559,120.00222,927,095.003,497,399,530.00797,132.00121,254,792.001,243,909,474.00851,296.00156,376,427.001,829,586,998.00154,336.0058,835,297.00897,164,488.00221,117.0082,694,741.001,491,817,577.00129,503.0046,275,422.00522,739,941.0013.7815.6910.269.401.47365,361.00116,928.00193,286.0092,723.00

    201242012 4T1,022,917.00317,176,855.005,003,328,926.00570,906.00226,879,468.004,102,003,354.00452,011.0090,297,387.00901,325,572.00550,811.00131,963,795.001,642,592,750.00142,517.0057,791,646.001,074,928,141.00211,458.0082,141,957.001,760,207,783.00118,131.0045,279,457.00525,600,252.0015.7718.089.989.401.68269,630.00120,011.00197,929.0096,510.00

    201312013 1T881,390.00304,004,079.004,447,577,654.00562,758.00222,788,192.003,682,245,190.00318,632.0081,215,887.00765,332,464.00426,640.00124,463,187.001,451,850,494.00132,386.0054,861,159.00878,042,559.00209,847.0081,217,014.001,629,654,817.00112,517.0043,462,719.00488,029,784.0014.6316.539.429.401.56310,145.00119,958.00196,347.0098,151.00

    201322013 2T979,391.00321,008,807.004,598,236,015.00560,752.00223,241,994.003,639,985,883.00418,639.0097,766,813.00958,250,132.00512,370.00138,512,999.001,614,397,161.00135,640.0055,148,262.00899,801,010.00213,193.0082,099,387.001,562,616,551.00118,188.0045,248,159.00521,421,293.0014.3216.319.809.431.52352,218.00122,403.00196,996.00101,691.00

    201332013 3T1,216,109.00340,559,674.004,719,227,654.00559,385.00222,532,268.003,538,286,697.00656,724.00118,027,406.001,180,940,957.00713,614.00153,272,203.001,779,842,495.00153,738.0058,839,855.00912,799,061.00219,924.0082,344,289.001,499,327,348.00128,833.0046,103,327.00527,258,750.0013.8615.9010.019.431.47366,544.00128,838.00194,652.00100,119.00

    201342013 4T1,257,382.00333,536,985.005,248,817,067.00552,745.00220,025,654.004,050,995,347.00704,637.00113,511,331.001,197,821,720.00787,813.00150,114,028.001,880,034,808.00141,828.0056,508,036.001,063,808,387.00209,705.0081,643,343.001,764,374,250.00118,036.0045,271,578.00540,599,622.0015.7418.4110.559.431.67279,117.00116,949.00196,727.0096,499.00

    201412014 1T892,809.00314,171,452.004,576,799,552.00549,967.00217,631,004.003,673,116,077.00342,842.0096,540,448.00903,683,475.00437,026.00130,422,254.001,516,245,006.00133,862.0055,352,426.00901,372,942.00208,863.0081,005,476.001,644,375,732.00113,058.0047,391,296.00514,805,872.0014.5716.889.369.531.53326,172.00120,736.00193,833.0099,618.00

    201422014 2T1,023,607.00337,895,146.004,809,741,907.00549,453.00218,802,222.003,642,389,549.00474,154.00119,092,924.001,167,352,358.00553,597.00150,525,593.001,753,814,479.00139,369.0056,162,135.00932,210,879.00211,710.0081,831,995.001,569,490,484.00118,931.0049,375,423.00554,226,065.0014.2316.659.809.531.49374,962.00125,993.00195,906.00102,120.00

    ENSEMBLE DES CONTRATS Total des CDITotal des CDDPRODUCTIONTRANSFORMATIONTERTIAIREAUTRESSALAIRE HORAIREFIN DE TRIMESTRE

    Evolution en glissement annuelContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireAgricoleCDICDDSmic horaire brut Déflaté par le SmicProductionTransformationTertiaireAutres

    200332003 3T4.45%-0.31%3.04%

    200342003 4T-10.90%-2.27%1.00%

    200412004 1T-0.05%-0.12%3.62%

    200422004 2T-0.61%-0.61%2.35%

    200432004 3T-6.61%-0.78%2.70%

    200442004 4T14.10%2.05%5.21%

    200512005 1T0.54%-0.62%2.47%

    200522005 2T0.98%-0.08%3.45%

    200532005 3T4.22%-0.11%3.51%

    200542005 4T-7.01%-1.78%1.69%

    200612006 1T-1.90%-0.78%2.42%

    200622006 2T-1.74%-0.78%2.18%

    200632006 3T-1.71%-0.83%2.03%

    200642006 4T-0.88%-0.23%1.96%

    200712007 1T0.62%0.18%2.88%

    200722007 2T1.43%0.70%4.13%

    200732007 3T-1.47%1.14%3.61%

    200742007 4T1.52%0.80%3.30%

    200812008 1T1.66%1.44%4.55%

    200822008 2T-2.19%-0.18%2.62%

    200832008 3T-1.38%-1.25%1.91%

    200842008 4T-0.54%0.09%2.96%

    200912009 1T-0.91%-0.97%0.84%

    200922009 2T0.96%-0.46%1.32%

    200932009 3T1.99%-0.35%0.67%

    200942009 4T-2.88%-1.04%0.31%

    201012010 1T-1.78%-0.83%0.85%

    201022010 2T-2.32%-0.48%0.67%

    201032010 3T-0.30%0.14%1.58%4.14%4.31%5.58%-3.30%-7.36%-8.96%-0.13%-0.36%0.61%-1.08%-0.30%1.89%-1.18%-0.17%1.73%1.17%3.10%4.24%1.45%1.22%-1.73%-0.27%

    201042010 4T0.19%0.49%2.01%1.58%1.52%3.62%-1.54%-2.19%-5.19%0.75%1.38%2.52%0.85%0.88%2.57%-0.64%-0.08%1.81%-1.66%-1.42%0.13%1.51%2.07%-3.07%1.05%

    201112011 1T2.25%1.93%3.92%0.90%1.29%3.70%4.95%3.94%5.10%3.97%3.28%5.33%1.92%1.24%3.37%0.33%0.97%3.15%0.18%0.88%3.46%1.95%2.38%1.11%1.49%-2.41%-0.25%-0.84%-1.28%

    201122011 2T2.72%2.12%4.11%-0.30%-0.27%2.67%7.04%8.45%10.27%4.79%4.11%6.25%2.85%1.75%4.11%-0.63%-0.14%2.45%-0.20%0.77%2.61%1.95%2.95%1.67%0.36%-2.81%3.12%-0.86%-2.17%

    201132011 3T1.82%1.55%3.61%-0.22%0.13%2.71%3.30%4.42%6.35%2.61%2.35%4.99%1.83%1.31%4.07%-0.96%-0.22%1.48%1.37%2.35%4.16%2.02%2.58%1.84%0.44%0.62%0.76%-1.08%2.22%

    201142011 4T-5.04%-1.10%0.98%-1.61%-1.65%0.87%-9.45%0.37%1.52%-8.72%-2.67%-0.28%0.72%1.05%3.29%-1.11%-0.36%0.85%-1.78%-0.58%0.68%2.10%2.55%1.14%0.51%2.30%2.14%-1.07%0.47%

    201212012 1T-1.11%-0.95%1.29%-2.60%-2.81%0.23%1.79%4.80%6.96%-1.11%-1.29%1.21%0.10%1.03%3.49%-1.47%-1.38%0.69%-1.82%-1.59%-0.24%2.26%3.13%2.07%-1.42%3.04%1.57%-0.26%-0.35%

    201222012 2T-1.22%-0.30%1.55%-2.44%-2.84%-0.20%0.40%5.91%8.53%-2.03%-0.75%1.51%-0.91%0.46%3.30%-0.95%-1.51%0.18%1.52%2.40%2.84%1.86%2.72%2.47%2.44%-0.57%1.94%-1.66%-3.40%1.61%

    201232012 3T-2.33%-0.79%2.02%-2.57%-2.58%0.73%-2.15%2.67%5.81%-3.30%-1.72%0.91%-1.41%0.16%2.51%-0.83%-0.67%2.31%0.64%1.04%4.32%2.83%3.39%3.06%4.44%-1.55%-0.76%-4.00%-1.52%-7.36%

    201242012 4T5.19%2.40%4.63%0.88%0.85%3.46%11.19%6.54%10.34%9.30%4.48%7.57%2.02%2.94%5.41%-0.48%-0.27%2.05%1.54%0.78%3.01%2.18%2.59%3.57%4.44%-2.17%2.29%3.58%0.17%2.66%

    201312013 1T2.52%1.64%3.12%0.82%0.53%2.38%5.67%4.80%6.82%4.86%3.33%5.16%0.25%0.69%3.51%-0.28%-0.38%0.87%1.97%1.91%4.12%1.46%1.84%1.92%2.29%-0.81%1.97%2.39%0.21%1.40%

    201322013 2T-0.95%0.08%2.70%0.52%0.71%3.48%-2.86%-1.34%-0.19%-1.43%-0.07%1.56%-1.05%0.01%2.47%0.47%1.39%4.30%-1.26%-1.73%1.93%2.62%2.76%1.17%2.28%0.33%2.70%2.22%2.93%1.49%

    201332013 3T-10.33%-1.05%-0.47%0.05%-0.18%1.17%-17.61%-2.66%-5.06%-16.17%-1.99%-2.72%-0.39%0.01%1.74%-0.54%-0.42%0.50%-0.52%-0.37%0.86%0.59%1.35%-2.47%2.28%0.27%0.32%10.19%0.71%7.98%

    201342013 4T22.92%5.16%4.91%-3.18%-3.02%-1.24%55.89%25.71%32.90%43.03%13.75%14.46%-0.48%-2.22%-1.03%-0.83%-0.61%0.24%-0.08%-0.02%2.85%-0.24%1.83%5.72%2.28%-0.56%3.52%-2.55%-0.61%-0.01%

    201412014 1T1.30%3.34%2.91%-2.27%-2.31%-0.25%7.60%18.87%18.08%2.43%4.79%4.44%1.11%0.90%2.66%-0.47%-0.26%0.90%0.48%9.04%5.49%-0.42%2.12%-0.67%102.28%-1.78%5.17%0.65%-1.28%1.49%

    201422014 2T4.51%5.26%4.60%-2.01%-1.99%0.07%13.26%21.81%21.82%8.05%8.67%8.64%2.75%1.84%3.60%-0.70%-0.33%0.44%0.63%9.12%6.29%-0.63%2.10%0.01%202.28%-1.67%6.46%2.93%-0.55%0.42%

    Embauches - Contrats

    Nombre d’intentions d’embauches par type de contrat et par sexe

    TrimestreTODECDD HORS TODECDI

    HFTOTHFTOTHFTOT

    2008 3T263421171070434,49190,24456,599146,84314,1827,44721,629

    2008 4T11295180219193,17037,65527,56465,21911,3097,33818,647

    2009 1T6228138621100,90236,35225,14361,49518,73810,38029,118

    2009 2T10737485374192,74854,33835,24389,58110,3255,15415,479

    2009 3T286288177120463,408100,45361,209161,66212,1076,26218,369

    2009 4T10483570370175,20541,05129,95471,0059,8785,15115,029

    2010 1T586423491393,55536,74225,75562,49720,02710,29230,319

    2010 2T10079379737180,53056,11936,58792,70610,3035,38415,687

    2010 3T305780185817491,59798,16758,843157,01010,9165,73616,652

    2010 4T9429664005158,30144,16730,24974,4169,7115,58115,292

    2011 1T6396839497103,46544,75728,44873,20516,5629,08725,649

    2011 2T11811189645207,75660,63939,609100,24810,1785,13415,312

    2011 3T304148186980491,12899,73660,141159,87712,1336,82018,953

    2011 4T8695557119144,07448,58831,77280,3609,7405,40815,148

    2012 1T6421339188103,40146,15329,84575,99817,2458,87026,115

    2012 2T10387678388182,26458,32336,67594,9989,5584,44614,004

    2012 3T298095179395477,490104,58160,028164,60911,7216,07217,793

    2012 4T9856160829159,39051,26232,49383,75510,3915,74516,136

    2013 1T6921740064109,28145,87029,64675,51616,0717,82223,893

    2013 2T10992079454189,37459,62236,32595,94710,0884,92215,010

    2013 3T274880167642442,522102,35358,832161,18512,3206,21918,539

    2013 4T202424116258318,68255,42133,98789,40810,4435,46015,903

    2014 1T7884244755123,59751,95732,74484,70118,99110,72329,714

    2014 2T13452093609228,12966,90841,133108,04110,9275,51116,438

    2014 3T378192224879603,071108,14562,324170,46913,2877,05020,337

    Embauches - secteurs

    Nombre d’intentions d’embauches par grand secteur d’activité

    TrimestreProductionTransformationTertiaireAutres secteurs

    TODECDD Hors TODECDITotalTODECDD Hors TODECDITotalTODECDD Hors TODECDITotalTODECDD Hors TODECDITotal

    2008 3T423,55065,8748,152497,5765,09133,8093,81642,71695518,2763,56422,7954,89528,8846,09739,876

    2008 4T187,73935,1427,518230,3992,67110,7922,86616,3295625,3352,8698,7662,19813,9505,39421,542

    2009 1T97,93031,2869,979139,1951,1959,8684,88315,9463975,8837,03313,3131,38014,4587,22323,061

    2009 2T187,78046,2356,694240,7091,94316,7322,39521,0706186,8122,4379,8672,40719,8023,95326,162

    2009 3T452,21080,6577,238540,1056,00834,5423,32143,87196817,0352,77020,7734,22229,4285,04038,690

    2009 4T170,65840,4276,786217,8712,4379,8882,19314,5183345,4212,1227,8771,77615,2693,92820,973

    2010 1T90,69031,96410,791133,4451,3949,9398,56119,8942675,9275,55511,7491,20414,6675,41221,283

    2010 2T175,37049,7726,490231,6322,58314,8492,29519,7275697,3463,09811,0132,00820,7393,80426,551

    2010 3T475,27874,9786,196556,45211,42433,5152,84847,78754818,0062,65821,2124,34730,5114,95039,808

    2010 4T154,08942,1396,089202,3172,45010,4592,65015,5592705,8033,0629,1351,49216,0153,49120,998

    2011 1T100,43039,5758,941148,9461,74411,0516,97619,7712476,1334,07710,4571,04416,4465,65523,145

    2011 2T202,51453,1016,318261,9332,89717,9502,51023,3574907,9392,59411,0231,85521,2583,89027,003

    2011 3T475,22978,7636,890560,88211,13831,7633,50146,40269917,7673,25821,7244,06231,5845,30440,950

    2011 4T140,07647,4126,472193,9602,28510,2552,47815,0181705,6722,3938,2351,54317,0213,80522,369

    2012 1T100,08440,9119,887150,8821,90111,3086,38019,5892166,2614,46710,9441,20017,5185,38124,099

    2012 2T177,40450,6826,051234,1372,67714,4822,36219,5214457,6691,93410,0481,73822,1653,65727,560

    2012 3T461,61778,3037,139547,05910,53034,5373,04748,11490317,9262,49621,3254,44033,8435,11143,394

    2012 4T154,37947,4066,321208,1062,65910,9743,58417,2173026,3422,5929,2362,05019,0333,63924,722

    2013 1T105,40540,1399,893155,4372,05510,6675,47118,1932036,6743,0729,9491,61818,0365,45725,111

    2013 2T184,26550,2316,632241,1282,61814,0292,32518,9724557,6482,38010,4832,03624,0393,67329,748

    2013 3T430,42873,6407,609511,6776,65334,6153,10544,37396218,5312,66522,1584,47934,3995,16044,038

    2013 4T305,09149,1456,726360,96210,13613,9802,57726,6938016,7202,75810,2792,65419,5633,84226,059

    2014 1T119,38242,51210,453172,3472,27912,6106,06520,9543178,5757,33116,2231,61921,0045,86528,488

    2014 2T221,93953,8086,743282,4903,26418,8842,95525,1036099,5202,93913,0682,31725,8293,80131,947

    2014 3T588,18280,2227,885676,2898,65135,4663,60647,7231,34119,6523,78524,7784,89735,1295,06145,087

    Population des cotisants NSA

    Evolution de la population des non-salariés agricoles de 2010 à 2014

    Type d'actif non salarié agricole20102011201220132014

    Nombre de chefs d'exploitation ou d'entreprise496,354489,218483,815478,692473,862

    Evolution--1.40%-1.10%-1.10%-1.00%

    Dont nombre de chefs d'exploitation458,586451,308445,793440,921438,476

    Evolution --1.60%-1.20%-1.10%-0.60%

    Dont nombre de chefs d'entreprise37,76837,91038,02237,77135,386

    Evolution-0.40%0.30%-0.70%-6.30%

    Nombre d'aides familiaux5,5625,4774,9634,5864,103

    Evolution--1.50%-9.40%-7.60%-10.60%

    Nombre de conjoints46,78043,96841,32438,88435,967

    Evolution--6.00%-6.00%-5.90%-7.50%

    Chefs d'exploitations- secteurs

    Evolution du nombre de chefs d’exploitation ou d’entreprise agricole par grand secteur d’activité

    SECTEUR D'ACTIVITEEffectifs 2013Ecart entrants/ sortantsChangements de secteur dans le régimeEffectifs 2014Evol.

    Cultures spécialisées29,49116-36629,141-1.19%

    Cultures céréalières et industrielles82,8669623183,1930.39%

    Viticulture49,198-1856949,082-0.24%

    Bovins lait et mixtes101,009-1,591-51098,908-2.08%

    Bovins viande, ovins, caprins79,386-603-7278,711-0.85%

    Elevage hors-sol24,798-15-2324,760-0.15%

    Equidés12,7381942912,9611.75%

    Polyculture-élevage60,108-33564460,4170.51%

    ETA, paysagistes34,666682634,7600.27%

    Autres1,926-17201,9290.16%

    Artisans ruraux exclusifs2,506-2458-480-100.00%

    TOTAL478,692-4,8300473,862-1.01%

    m93cgaiPièce jointeConjoncture 33 volet 1.xlsx

  • 4

    Suivi des intentions d’embauche des salariés agricoles au 3e trimestre 2014

    Nombre d’intentions d’embauches par type de contrat

    Source : CCMSA

    Les intentions d’embauche sont en nette augmentation

    Au 3ème trimestre 2014, le nombre total d’intentions d’embauche s’établit à 794 000, en croissance de 172 000 unités

    sur un an (+27,6 % en glissement annuel).

    Après des progressions de +13,1 % et +20,5 % aux 1er et 2e trimestres, la hausse des intentions d’embauche en TODE

    s’accentue au 3e trimestre 2014 (+36,3 % sur un an). Celles-ci s’établissent à 603 000 unités, ce qui représente 76 % du volume des intentions d’embauche de ce trimestre. Ce type d’emploi est fortement dépendant des périodes de récoltes, elles-mêmes conditionnées par la météo. En 2013, les productions végétales ont souffert d’un printemps froid et humide. Cette météo a provoqué des retards de deux à trois semaines selon les productions et le décalage du travail saisonnier estival, reporté sur le 4ème trimestre. En 2014, les conditions météorologiques ont été moins atypiques. La hausse des embauches en TODE traduit donc plutôt un retour à la normale, conjugué à des récoltes de fruits et légumes plus abondantes qu’en 2013.

    Egalement en hausse, mais de manière plus atténuée, les intentions d’embauche en CDD hors TODE évoluent de

    + 5,8 %. Quant aux intentions d’embauche en CDI, elles augmentent de +9,7 %.

    Nombre d’intentions d’embauches par grand secteur d’activité

    Source : CCMSA

    La production est le secteur le plus dynamique

    Avec près de 85,2 % du volume total des intentions d’embauche au 3ème trimestre 2014, le secteur de la production est le

    principal pourvoyeur d’embauches du régime agricole. L’évolution du secteur de la production conditionne donc la tendance de l’ensemble du régime agricole. Au 3e trimestre, les intentions d’embauche du secteur de la production sont en nette augmentation (+32,2 %). La hausse est encore plus marquée que le trimestre précédent (+17,2 %).

    L’augmentation est plus mesurée pour les secteurs de la transformation et du tertiaire (respectivement +7,5 % et

    +11,8 %). Ces deux secteurs ne représentent toutefois que 6,0 % et 3,1 % des intentions d’embauche de l’ensemble du régime agricole.

    Enfin, avec une évolution de +2,4 %, la hausse des intentions d’embauche du secteur "Autres activités" demeure plus

    modérée.

    Contact : Guillaume Prevostat - DERS Cotisations – [email protected]

    Télécharger les données au format Excel :

    443

    161

    19

    622603

    170

    20

    794

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    TO CDD hors TO CDI Total

    3T 2013

    3T 2014

    En milliers

    +36,3 %

    +5,8 %

    +9,7 %

    +27,6 %

    512

    4422

    44

    622

    676

    4825

    45

    794

    0

    100

    200

    300

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    Production Transformation Tertiaire Autresactivités

    Total

    3T 2013

    3T 2014

    +32,2 %

    +7,5 % +11,8 % +2,4 %

    +27,6 %

    file://FS01.ccmsa.int.msanet/ders/STATISTIQUES/COMMUN_STATISTIQUES/I-Dossiers_communs/réunion%20conjoncture%20DERS/notes%20trimestrielles%20conjoncture/Notes%202014/Note%20N°29/[email protected] 33

    Juin 2015

    Conjoncture n° 33 - volet 1

    DIRECTION DES ETUDES, DES REPERTOIRES

    ET DES STATISTIQUES

    Directeur de la publication :

    Alain PELC

    Département "Mission synthèses et diffusion"

    Responsable : David Foucaud

    foucaud.david@ccmsa;msa.fr

    Réalisé par :

    [email protected]

    [email protected]

    [email protected]

    mailto:foucaud.david@ccmsa;msa.frmailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://///FS01.ccmsa.int.msanet/ders/STATISTIQUES/COMMUN_STATISTIQUES/I-Dossiers_communs/réunion%20conjoncture%20DERS/notes%20trimestrielles%20conjoncture/Notes%202014/Note%20N°29/[email protected]

    IPPAP

    Tableau 1 : Indice des prix des produits agricoles à la production

    Evolution en % sur un an20112012201320142014 T12014 T22014T32014 T4

    Indice général brut12.85.91.4-5.0-4.9-5.0-5.1-5.5

    Céréales (18,8%)35.15.8-9.4-13.8-19.5-14.9-11.4-7.9

    Vins (17,7%)5.91.710.79.712.214.210.64.5

    Lait (14,7%)7.7-2.87.26.816.573.8-4.7

    Gros bovins (9,6%)7.214.15.3-5.7-3.4-6.1-7-6.4

    Porcins (5,4%)13.71.81.7-8.4-6.82.5-12.1-16.5

    Légumes frais (5,3%)13101.2-7.7-15.2-17.9-0.75.1

    Oléagineux (4,9%)-12.910.81.2-7.7-20.9-19.5-14.4-9.8

    Volailles (4,6%)18145.7-6.7-7.9-7.2-5.7-6.1

    Fruits frais (3,5%)-3.212.112.3-18.6-17.5-18.4-23.8-12.5

    Pommes de terre (2,6%)20.8-0.562.2-40.4-22.3-42.1-48.8-42.6

    Œufs (1,5%)11.652.1-343.2-12.87.7148.2

    Source : Insee

    Note: Les chiffres entre parenthèses indiquent pour chaque groupe de produits sa pondération dans le calcul de l’indice général

    IPAMPA

    Tableau 2 : Indice des prix des produits agricoles à la production

    Evolution en % sur un an 20112012201320142014 T12014 T22014T32014 T4

    Indice général9.23.31.5-3.1-3.0-2.0-1.8-2.2

    Aliments des animaux (20,5 %)18.66.55.2-7.6-9.1-7.2-6.8-7.3

    Energie et lubrifiants (10,0 %)18.23.1-1.6-4.1-3.0-0.2-3.1-10.1

    Engrais et amendements (9,2 %)23.74.1-5.1-4.7-10.3-6.9-3.53.1

    Semences et plants (6,6 %)0.73.43.70.41.00.40.2-0.2

    Biens d'investissement (25,3%)2.51.41.80.61.10.80.5-0.1

    Source : Insee

    Note: Les chiffres entre parenthèses indiquent pour chaque groupe de produits sa pondération dans le calcul de l’indice général

    Echanges AA

    Tableau 3 : Evolution des échanges agroalimentaires par groupes de produits

    En M€Import.Export.Solde

    201320142013201420132014Evol.

    Produits bruts et transformés48,88648,66060,13957,89211,2539,233-2,020

    Produits bruts12,16811,91616,41514,6694,2472,753-1,494

    dont céréales1,7411,7229,3797,8107,6386,088-1,550

    dont légumes2,8492,7752,2992,058-550-717-167

    dont fruits5,3905,2161,7551,806-3,635-3,410225

    Produits transformés36,71836,74343,72443,2247,0066,480-526

    dont boissons3,0293,02513,74713,46510,71810,440-278

    dont prod. de l’abattage5,7265,6504,8444,542-882-1108-226

    dont autres prod. alimentaires6,8527,2207,6407,697788477-311

    dont produits laitiers3,3683,5286,6127,0213,2443,493249

    source:Agreste, SSP

    EMPLOI SA

    ENSEMBLE DES CONTRATS Total des CDITotal des CDDPRODUCTIONTRANSFORMATIONTERTIAIREAUTRESSALAIRE HORAIREFIN DE TRIMESTRE

    ANNEETRIMESTREPERIODEContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireContratsHeuresSalaireAgricoleCDICDDSmic horaire brut Déflaté par le SmicProductionTransformationTertiaireAutres

    200232002 3T1,381,351.00349,832,049.003,717,314,272.00568,413.00223,432,214.002,725,740,740.00812,938.00126,399,835.00991,573,532.00865,424.00162,404,402.001,416,694,830.00178,888.0065,364,079.00764,716,701.00222,742.0084,204,395.001,199,494,148.00114,297.0037,859,173.00336,408,593.0010.6312.207.846.671.59

    200242002 4T1,112,439.00319,349,977.003,949,482,035.00567,476.00222,479,405.003,171,453,571.00544,963.0096,870,572.00778,028,464.00640,243.00137,773,359.001,291,858,508.00157,065.0061,660,613.00890,805,208.00209,845.0082,193,678.001,421,049,398.00105,286.0037,722,327.00345,768,921.0012.3714.268.036.831.81

    200312003 1T866,290.00301,413,173.003,444,876,063.00563,166.00221,723,732.002,855,727,189.00303,124.0079,689,441.00589,148,874.00410,184.00123,431,783.001,087,175,927.00145,204.0059,155,936.00719,482,006.00209,931.0082,234,641.001,311,480,435.00100,971.0036,590,813.00326,737,695.0011.4312.887.396.831.67

    200322003 2T1,009,965.00321,093,809.003,591,591,032.00564,495.00223,619,301.002,845,054,124.00445,470.0097,474,508.00746,536,908.00537,948.00140,157,550.001,235,511,468.00153,674.0060,123,228.00748,858,567.00211,490.0082,340,268.001,256,688,057.00106,853.0038,472,763.00350,532,940.0011.1912.727.666.831.64

    200332003 3T1,442,795.00348,731,579.003,830,295,608.00564,793.00222,845,803.002,805,021,950.00878,002.00125,885,776.001,025,273,658.00931,341.00162,157,449.001,473,918,838.00174,400.0064,400,803.00779,322,873.00222,587.0083,816,914.001,225,299,334.00114,467.0038,356,413.00351,754,563.0010.9812.598.146.831.61

    200342003 4T991,170.00312,113,661.003,988,822,661.00570,156.00226,549,112.003,286,653,206.00421,014.0085,564,549.00702,169,455.00521,714.00128,652,042.001,254,700,323.00150,803.0060,084,907.00899,829,850.00211,647.0084,789,566.001,467,353,796.00107,006.0038,587,146.00366,938,692.0012.7814.518.217.191.78

    200412004 1T865,898.00301,042,756.003,569,596,017.00579,081.00228,494,984.003,028,699,002.00286,817.0072,547,772.00540,897,015.00410,461.00123,390,710.001,128,411,308.00143,404.0058,505,533.00731,986,956.00208,352.0081,437,107.001,360,983,850.00103,681.0037,709,406.00348,213,903.0011.8613.257.467.191.65

    200422004 2T1,003,807.00319,120,954.003,676,093,704.00582,434.00230,069,480.002,982,886,977.00421,373.0089,051,474.00693,206,727.00528,935.00137,898,761.001,262,327,052.00149,648.0059,187,394.00756,221,185.00215,156.0082,334,789.001,283,136,899.00110,068.0039,700,010.00374,408,568.0011.5212.977.787.191.60

    200432004 3T1,347,377.00345,997,768.003,933,589,024.00576,787.00228,292,742.002,935,332,796.00770,590.00117,705,026.00998,256,228.00836,338.00159,444,831.001,515,893,353.00171,071.0063,480,800.00790,400,695.00222,951.0083,645,946.001,255,094,309.00117,017.0039,426,191.00372,200,667.0011.3712.868.487.191.58

    200442004 4T1,130,879.00318,510,304.004,196,798,505.00567,400.00224,413,248.003,376,957,678.00563,479.0094,097,056.00819,840,827.00655,121.00136,602,407.001,384,760,407.00154,896.0060,453,377.00929,578,735.00211,406.0081,623,614.001,492,427,622.00109,456.0039,830,906.00390,031,741.0013.1815.058.717.611.73

    200512005 1T870,567.00299,170,951.003,657,740,147.00565,387.00222,853,135.003,048,994,301.00305,180.0076,317,816.00608,745,846.00414,413.00121,761,621.001,157,901,279.00141,561.0058,004,993.00750,734,472.00208,690.0080,648,509.001,379,046,712.00105,903.0038,755,828.00370,057,684.0012.2313.687.987.611.61

    200522005 2T1,013,676.00318,862,498.003,802,940,544.00570,314.00225,146,288.003,029,354,696.00443,362.0093,716,210.00773,585,848.00538,165.00137,863,018.001,312,640,839.00147,922.0058,613,532.00775,725,547.00214,286.0081,338,684.001,312,057,396.00113,303.0041,047,264.00402,516,762.0011.9313.468.257.611.57

    200532005 3T1,404,194.00345,623,159.004,071,799,789.00574,972.00226,986,529.003,021,364,882.00829,222.00118,636,630.001,050,434,907.00889,436.00158,539,479.001,576,316,733.00171,108.0063,350,120.00813,488,208.00222,846.0082,910,575.001,285,384,276.00120,804.0040,822,985.00396,610,572.0011.7813.318.857.611.55

    200542005 4T1,051,585.00312,847,269.004,267,809,103.00572,482.00226,403,677.003,511,523,479.00479,103.0086,443,592.00756,285,624.00577,165.00129,348,347.001,366,080,666.00150,862.0060,375,042.00954,113,078.00211,003.0081,440,438.001,524,050,059.00112,555.0041,683,442.00423,565,300.0013.6415.518.758.031.70

    200612006 1T853,996.00296,839,878.003,746,213,928.00565,247.00222,685,198.003,138,727,026.00288,749.0074,154,680.00607,486,902.00396,913.00118,287,117.001,171,963,755.00139,087.0057,289,650.00759,406,458.00209,174.0080,841,396.001,414,833,345.00108,822.0040,421,715.00400,010,370.0012.6214.098.198.031.57

    200622006 2T996,078.00316,374,814.003,885,813,424.00564,710.00223,362,278.003,087,272,610.00431,368.0093,012,536.00798,540,814.00520,494.00134,170,097.001,334,562,722.00146,222.0058,143,886.00787,577,950.00213,197.0081,346,481.001,332,106,575.00116,165.0042,714,350.00431,566,177.0012.2813.828.598.031.53

    200632006 3T1,380,200.00342,769,635.004,154,416,315.00560,211.00221,518,613.003,035,690,979.00819,989.00121,251,022.001,118,725,336.00865,034.00154,985,484.001,592,508,217.00166,229.0062,110,338.00816,898,640.00224,887.0083,227,416.001,317,435,697.00124,050.0042,446,397.00427,573,761.0012.1213.709.238.031.51

    200642006 4T1,042,335.00312,139,023.004,351,520,149.00556,212.00220,056,033.003,508,690,935.00486,123.0092,082,990.00842,829,214.00568,100.00128,429,047.001,400,731,283.00146,848.0058,734,587.00949,962,873.00213,200.0082,159,175.001,561,590,150.00114,187.0042,816,214.00439,235,843.0013.9415.949.158.271.69

    200712007 1T859,252.00297,385,671.003,854,027,536.00552,530.00218,141,406.003,174,228,309.00306,722.0079,244,265.00679,799,227.00398,800.00117,839,025.001,207,192,883.00137,577.0056,541,731.00772,626,563.00211,019.0081,377,508.001,451,471,044.00111,856.0041,627,407.00422,737,046.0012.9614.558.588.271.57

    200722007 2T1,010,339.00318,585,051.004,046,133,159.00556,686.00219,454,197.003,156,161,883.00453,653.0099,130,854.00889,971,276.00527,607.00135,070,349.001,390,449,444.00144,808.0057,644,018.00800,680,459.00219,727.0082,286,323.001,404,668,966.00118,197.0043,584,361.00450,334,290.0012.7014.388.988.271.54

    200732007 3T1,359,865.00346,678,954.004,304,522,336.00559,449.00222,100,905.003,130,640,380.00800,416.00124,578,049.001,173,881,956.00833,088.00154,243,801.001,621,332,636.00166,911.0062,644,793.00842,856,201.00229,549.0085,268,672.001,381,134,142.00130,317.0044,521,688.00459,199,357.0012.4214.109.428.271.50

    200742007 4T1,058,221.00314,630,774.004,494,940,761.00549,909.00219,073,733.003,595,232,372.00508,312.0095,557,041.00899,708,389.00577,643.00129,406,848.001,448,200,755.00148,375.0058,946,811.00974,797,937.00215,579.0082,634,398.001,612,667,422.00116,624.0043,642,717.00459,274,647.0014.2916.419.428.441.69

    200812008 1T873,543.00301,671,464.004,029,295,565.00568,939.00224,832,572.003,354,942,002.00304,604.0076,838,892.00674,353,563.00404,127.00119,659,781.001,261,632,843.00141,184.0056,950,308.00801,822,806.00214,016.0082,208,915.001,521,586,408.00114,216.0042,852,460.00444,253,508.0013.3614.928.788.441.58

    200822008 2T988,249.00318,015,375.004,152,134,878.00566,103.00226,017,130.003,305,317,131.00422,146.0091,998,245.00846,817,747.00504,773.00133,079,179.001,419,872,409.00143,898.0057,048,774.00820,223,475.00218,427.0083,207,380.001,439,942,635.00121,151.0044,680,042.00472,096,359.0013.0614.629.208.441.55

    200832008 3T1,341,111.00342,357,585.004,386,659,642.00557,936.00221,685,261.003,190,364,749.00783,175.0012