cercle innovation ibm 2013 - ile bendor

© 2013 IBM Corporation

Technologies et Innovations 2013 « vers un nouveau champ des possibles »

Claude RIOUSSET Executive Architect Systems & Technology Group

Cercle Innovation IBM – Ile de Bendor – 22 Mars

© 2013 IBM Corporation2

La technologie est au coeur de toutes les entreprises

Tous les deux ans, nous demandons à des dirigeants d’entreprise de désigner les trois facteurs externes qui auront le plus fort impact sur leur organisation. Si les facteurs de marché tiennent toujours le premier rang, les facteurs technologiques n’ont cessé de gagner en importance relative.

En 2011, ce sont plus de 3000 DSI couvrant 71 pays et 18 industries qui ont partagé comment cette technologie était au cœur du changement, de l’innovation et du succès de leurs entreprises. 2011 IBM Global CIO Study

« Le DSI Indispensable »“New technologies are about to disrupt the industry.”

Industrial Products CIO, Germany


© 2013 IBM Corporation3Source: Q1 “What are the most important external forces that will impact your organization over the next 3 to 5 years?”

External forces that will impact the organization – 2012 CEO Study

Pour la première fois, les CEO’s placent la Technologie en tête des facteurs majeurs pour leur Entreprise.



La 3ème génération de l’infrastructure informatique, la 3ème phase de l'Internet, et l'explosion de l'information entrent en résonance pour engendrer une transformation majeure des usages.

4HorizonWatch: Top Technology Trends To Watch In 2012

1964 2008200319941981

Amount of Data Collected and Stored

Generations of Computing Platforms

Phases of the Internet

20122020-2

Source: Bill Chamberlin



Cette technologie est l'ADN d'IBM depuis toujours

2011+ Cognitive Computing Chip 2011 3D Chip 2011+ Watson2010 CMOS Integrated Silicon Nanophotonics2010 Transistor 100 GHz graphene2009 Nano MRI (Magnetic Resonance Imaging)2008 World’s First Petaflop Supercomputer 2005 Cell 2004 Blue Gene/L 2003 Carbon Nanotubes 1997 Copper Interconnect Wiring 1997 Deep Blue 1994 Silicon Germanium (SiGe)1987 High-Temperature Superconductivity 1986 Scanning Tunneling Microscope1980 RISC 1971 Speech Recognition 1970 Relational Database 1967 Fractals 1966 One-Device Memory Cell 1957 FORTRAN 1956 RAMAC


IBM inventors received a record 6,478 U.S. patents in 2012, marking the 20th consecutive year it has topped the list of the world’s most inventive companies. IBM became th e first company to be granted as many as 5,000 U.S. patents in a single year. It took IBM's inventors more than 50 y ears to receive their first 5,000 patents after the company was established in 1911. IBM's first patent: U.S. Paten t #998,631 issued July 25, 1911.

Un politique d’investissement dans l’innovation, et leader depuis 20 années



IBM Research: The World is Our Lab

Austin • Semiconductors • Processors

Tokyo• Integrated Solutions • Accessibility

Haifa• “Big Data” Analytics• Security

Zurich• Science • Nanotech Materials

India• Services • Mobile Communications

China• Software• Internet of Things (IoT)

Brazil• Natural Resources• Smarter Devices• Human Systems / Events

Melbourne• Natural Resources• Disaster Mgmt • Healthcare / Life

Sciences

Dublin• Smarter

Cities

Watson• Semiconductors• Systems• Software & Services

Almaden• Analytics• Storage • Nanotech

Healthcare

Africa• Smarter Cities

IBM Research Labs

IBM Research – Openings in 2011

IBM Research – Openings in 2012



Vers un nouveau paysage de l’IT….

8



Facteurs technologiques

Social – Mobile – Cloud – Big Data / Analytics

Une donnée multiple 4V & plus consommable� Data and data management� Workloads� Discovering insights� Interaction

L’accélération des rythmes � Evolving business ecosystem� Dynamic scalability� Minimize time-to-value� Keeping pace with technology and globalization

Une explosion des capteurs… � Proliferation of sensors and devices� Demand for personalization� Just in time

Croissance des usages / Accès simplifié � Users� Transactions� Computations� Data

…. structuré par Quatre grandes TendancesCercle Innovation IBM – Ile de Bendor – 22 Mars


90’s80’s60’s We are here

Vers un quatrième modèle.

Back OfficeComputing

Client Server PC - 1981

World Wide Web and eBusiness

Confluence of Social Mobile Cloud Big Data / Analytics



4 Technologies clefs qui vont changer notre écosystème IT

Exascale (Datacenter-in-a-box)� Massive parallelism � Flexible system

optimization

Nano Devices

1B Transistors

Power7 chip

1T Devices

Nano Systems (Systems-on-a-chip)

Workload Optimized

Systems

Big Data

Compute+Natural

Language+Analytics

Cognitive Computing � “Synapse” devices

� Photonics � DNA Transistor

BIG/Fast� Data + analytics

(zettabytes + milli / microseconds

Deep Q&A Computers



Des Nano Composants aux Nano Systèmes


optimization

Nano Devices

1B Transistors

Power7 chip

1T Devices


Workload Optimized

Systems

Big Data

Compute+Natural

Language+Analytics





Deep Q&A Computers



22/20 nm 15/11 nm 8 nm & Beyond

Conventional Planar Device

FINFET

ETSOISi Nano-Wire

C Electronics

Fully Depleted Devices

Si NWHfO2

Deposited Si

La Feuille de route vers le Nanomètre…

Des innovations et des ruptures technologiques à chaque étape.



Vision : >1 Tbps dans un composant complexe en 3D

Light out for off-chip traffic

Modulator

Photo-detector

Analog CMOS

Digital CMOS

Inter-layer3D vias

Multiplexor



La recherche au service de nouveaux usages: Séquencement de l’ADN



Du Petascale à l’Exascale


optimization

Nano Devices

1B Transistors

Power7 chip

1T Devices


Workload Optimized

Systems

Big Data

Compute+Natural

Language+Analytics





Deep Q&A Computers



Exascale, une nouvelle accélération

A large class of emerging applications (Smarter Planet, high-performance enterprise), for which network-speed processing and data/compute intensive modeling and simulation are an integral component, will require significant improvement in systems characteristics(consolidation, integration, performance, power efficiency, cost/performance). These applications represent a significant growth opportunity .

System Improvement(consolidation, integration, performance,power efficiency, cost/performance)

Historic trend:2x/2years

4x/2years

Now +5 yrs +10 yrs +15 yrs

1000x

Increasinglycommoditized space

30x

Smarter PlanetHigh-performance Enterprise



Vers l’Exascale, via la maîtrise de nouveaux enjeux technologiques.

1 PetaFlop = 1/3 rack

Software

Phase Change Memory

CPU Silicon Photonics

3D

20 PetaFlop 96 BG/Q

Racks(2011-2)

1 PetaFlop 72 BG/P

Racks(2007)

Overall Performance = 1000XPerformance / watt = 135XPerformance / $ = 1000X

Footprint = <2%Referenced to1PF system

The Next Ten Years

Source: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/08/22/ibm_bluegene_q_chip/



Des composants au Systèmes Intégrés Cercle Innovation IBM – Ile de Bendor – 22 Mars


De l’explosion des données vers une analyse réactive.


optimization

Nano Device

s

1B Transistors

Power7 chip

1T Devices


Workload Optimized

Systems

Big Data

Compute+

Natural

Language+ Analytics





Deep Q&A Computers



1990’s 2020’s

Video

Text

Exa

Peta

Tera

Giga

Dat

a V

olum

e

2000’s 2010’s

Structured data

Audio

Image

Med

High

Low

Com

puta

tiona

l Nee

ds

Sop

hist

icat

ion

of A

naly

sis

Exp

ress

iven

ess

Digital Marketing

12% of video views

Wide Area Imagery

100’s TB per day72 video hrs/minute

Media

Source: IBM Market Insights based on composite sources

Safety / Security

Healthcare

Customer

1B camera phones

1B medical images/yr

10s millions cameras

Enterprise Video

Used by 1/3 of enterprises

Le Multimedia: La vague majeure du traitement de la DonnéeCercle Innovation IBM – Ile de Bendor – 22 Mars


After processing this data the expectation is that per year between 300 and 1500 Petabytes of data need to be stored. In comparison, the approximately 15 Petabytes*** produced by the Large Hadron Collider at CERN per year of operation is approximately 10 to 100 times less than the envisioned capacity of SKA.


Raw data rate: 14 Exabytes / day.

10 minutes full HDTV

One week full HDTV

20 years full HDTV

20’000 years full HDTV **)

**) ~ 2 minutes of HDTV per human on earth.

Half page

Decent Book (5cm)

Small Library (50 Meters of

books)

Large Libary(50 Km of

books)

Library of Congress

Books around Earth Equator

half-a-minute

8 hours

~ 1 year

~ 1000 year

~ 1 million years

Books 1/3 Earth – Sun.~ 1 billion years

*)

*) = 140 books per human on earth.

Univ

ers

e L

ifetim

e (y

ears

)

Dat

a S

cale

(lo

g)

Exa

Peta

Tera

Giga

Mega

Kilo 1’000

1’000’000

1’000’000’000

1’000’000’000’000

1’000’000’000’000’000

1’000’000’000’000’000’000

1018

1015

1012

109

106

103

An Exabyte: What is it?


De la programmation des systèmes à l’apprentissage


optimization

Nano Devices

1B Transistors

Power7 chip

1T Devices


Workload Optimized

Systems

Big Data

Compute+Natural

Language+Analytics





Deep Q&A Computers



Les évolutions majeures du traitement de l’information

Programmable Systems Era

TabulatingSystems Era

CognitiveSystems Era



Surface best protocols

LegalSuggest defense/prosecution arguments

TelemarketingNext generation – persuasive –call center

Healthcare

FinanceEnhance decision support

Cognitive ComputingComplex Reasoning and Interaction Extends Human Cognition



Days

Innovation Discovery

Industry Solutions Lab

Workshops

GTO

Multi-year

Joint Development Agreements

First-of-a-Kind(FOAK)

IBM Research Services

Months to ~1 Year

Des synergies avec la recherche IBM Cercle Innovation IBM – Ile de Bendor – 22 Mars


Personalized Medicine

Cleaner Transportation

ImprovedMedical Diagnosis

& Treatment

CognitiveSystems



When it comes to the future, there are three kinds of people: those who let it happen, those who make it happen, and those who wonder what happened.”

John M. Richardson, Jr., American academic and author

Claude Riousset , Executive Architect - Systems & Technology Group
