alternatives to cytology: new perspectives for screening of cervical cancer - s. nazeer · 2016. 6....
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Alternatives to Cytology: New Perspectives for Screening of Cervical Cancer
Saloney NAZEER
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Objective of the Project
• To evaluate the feasibility, applicability and cost-effectiveness of different approaches to screening of cervical cancer in different resource settings
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Annual Estimates of New Cases Globally
Incidence Mortality
• Breast Cancer 795 000 313 000
• Cervical Cancer 450 000 300 000
• Ovarian Cancer 165 000 101 000
• Endometrial Cancer 142 000 42 000
WHO/IARC, 1999
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Incidence of Cervix uteri cancer ASR (World) All ages
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Available Control Strategies
Strategy Cases (%) Deaths (%)Tobacco 20 30Diet 25 20Infections 15 10Screening 3 4
Cervix 60 60Breast 0 25
Treatment 0 20
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Time to show Important Impact of Different Measures
Prevention Time (in yrs)Tobacco 30Diet 10-50Infections 40Screening 5-10Treatment 5
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Prerequisites of a successful screening programme
A CANCER is suitable for screening if:• a cancer is a major health problem justifying
screening• natural history of disease - long enough detectable
pre clinical phase • significant proportion of preclinical lesions
progress to clinical disease• available acceptable treatment
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Screening Test
• is valid for identifying preclinical lesions• acceptable (to patient & physician)• screening interval• affordable
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Characteristics of an Organized Screening Program
• Identification of target Population • Measures for high coverage and attendance• Clear screening protocol: health objectives• Adequate field facilities• Adequate facilities for diagnosis, Rx and FU • Information system (cancer registry)• Evaluation and monitoring (Process and Outcome
quality indicators)
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Pap Smears
• Sensitivity: 11 to 99% • Specificity: 14 to 97%• False negative: 5 to 55%
-Errors of Commission: laboratory errors-1/3-Errors of Ommission: sampling errors-2/3
• CostsFahey et al , 1995
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Alternatives to Cytology• Visual Inspection of the cervix
Simple - Clinical DownstagingAcetic Acid Aided - VIA
• Gynoscopy• Cervicography• Speculoscopy• Fournier transformed Infrared Spectroscopy• Laser induced Fluorescence• HPV Detection / vaccines
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
( INCGC )
WHO International Study Group
INTERNATIONAL NETWORK ON CONTROL OF GYNAECOLOGICAL
CANCERS
Hôpitaux Universitaires de GenèveWHO COLLABORATING CENTRE FOR RESEARCH IN HUMAN REPRODUCTION
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
INCGCThe Philosophy/Aims&Objectives
• To establish collaboration amongst International Players
• To standardise research methdology• To translate research findings into interventions
“Model Protocol for RCT / Demonstration Project”
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Pilot Demonstration Project for cervical cancer Screening &
Management in a Selected Region in Pakistan
(Lahore District)
In collaboration with WHO & MOH Pakistan
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Estimated Cases of Cx Ca in Regions andSelected Countries
Region/Country• North America• Latin America• Europe• USSR• Africa• China• India• Japan• Other Asian • Australia/NZ
source:WHO,1999
New Cases/Year • 15 700• 44 000• 47 200• 31 300• 36 900• 131 500• 120 000• 9 700• 70 300• 1 200
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Cervical Cancer in Pakistan: Epidemiology
• Total population - 130 million• Rural population - 70%• Male/Female ratio - 45:55• Community - Muslims (90%); Christians;
Zorostrians• Literacy rate - 30%
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Cervical Cancer in Pakistan: Epidemiology
Hospital based data:• 3rd common cancer in women
(following Breast & Oral CA)• 60% of all genital tract CA• 70-80% stage III / IV• 89% in the age group 30-55 yrs• Majority in low socio-economic class
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Objectives of the Project
• evaluate effect of health education• evaluate VIA as a screening test• evaluate performance of cytology• evaluate feasibility, acceptability & cost-benefit
of different screening methods
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
AIM of the Project
• To devise a national screening programme in Pakistan for Cervical Cancer
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Materials & MethodsProject Areas:• Lahore District - population of 700 000• Three rural and periurban areas - CHUNG,
RAIWIND and BURKI • Comparable socio-economic & demographic
backgrounds• Similar health care facilities• Equal access to the district's teaching hospitals ,
namely Sir Ganga Ram Hospital and Mayo Hospital
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Project Phases:
• PHASE I PREPARATORYJune 1996 - September 1996
• PHASE II INTERVENTIONJanuary 1997- June 1997
- Knowledge Attitude and Practice (KAP) Survey- Health Education- Training
• PHASE III - Data CollectionJuly 1997 - December 1998
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Target Population
• Total female Population: ± 50 000• Target Population (WHO criteria )• Sexually active women aged 30-60 years: ±
15 000• Population census data
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Data Collection
• KAP SurveyPreprepared questionnaire by lady health workers
• Screening & ManagementAll women aged 30-60 yrs, who presented at thehospital gynae.out-patient clinics(June 1997 - Dec. 1998)
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Methodology1080 women - aged 30-60 yrs
M/H - Gynae examination
VIA - 3% A.A.
Acetowhite lesion No Acetowhite lesion
Papsmear conventional
Colposcopy - SGRH Recall 3 yrs
Punch Bx/histology
CIN I: Rx infec. Rpt 12 wksCIN II: Cryo or elec. CoagCIN III: Cold knife cone
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
RESULTSKAP Survey• No. of women (30-60 yrs): 15 000• Education: 85% uneducated / 15% primary school• Mean age at marriage: 20.6 yrs• Parity: 0-15 ( >25% had >5 children) • Low socio-economic status• Knowledge about general health: poor• Knowledge about cervical cancer: 0%• Reluctance to visit a clinic if not ill: 100%
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
RESULTS
Screening & Management
• No.of women: 1080• Age: 30-60 yrs ( median 40.2 )• All were married with median parity of 7.5
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Results of VIA and Pap-smears comparedwith Histologic diagnosis
VIA PAP No. Lost Colposcopy Biopsy Mild Disp. Mod. Disp. Severe Disp CIS Inv. Ca Other100 10 90 66 4 6 24 16 12 4212 32 180 90 6 56 8 2 0 1856 16 40 10 6 2 2 0 0 0712 20 204 12 4 4 0 0 0 4
1080 78 514 178 20 68 34 18 12 26TOTAL
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Results ( contd.)
• Histology was the reference point
• Dysplasia all grades: 14 %LSIL - 2%HSIL - 12%
• Invasive cancer: 1.2%
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Comparison of VIA and Histology
VIA Total134 22 15618 4 22
Total 152 26 178
Histology
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Comparison of Pap-smear and Histology
Pap Smear Total72 4 7680 22 102
Total 152 26 178
Histology
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
RESULTS
sensitivity specificity false neg
• Pap-smear 47.4% 84.6% 53.6%
• VIA 88.1% 15.4%
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Consensus Consensus Conference, Tunis 1999 Conference, Tunis 1999 AIMS & OBJECTIVESAIMS & OBJECTIVES
• Review & assess completed & ongoing research studies on Cx Ca /HPV/STD and their relevance to screening for Cx Ca
• Review & revise, current WHO Guidelines• Revise strategies to successfully carry out these
recommendations esp. in DCs
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
VIASTUDY TYPE of
STUDYSCREENING TESTS PATIENT
POPULATIONRESULTS
University of Zimbabweand JHPIEGOZimbabwe 1999
Cross-sectional
• VIA Age 25-55yrs attendingPHC clinics.
Sensitivity: 76.7%Specificity: 64.1%
• PapColposcopy/Biopsy
44.3%90.6%
T.Wright et alCape Town 1999
Cross-sectional
• Pap• VIA• HPV• Cerviograpy
35-60 yrsPeri-urban communityunscreened
78/95%67/84%58/92%73/86%
Singh et alDelhi1999
ongoing……
???
• VIA• Gyno• Cyto• (colpo/histo)
3000 women HSIL
81.5%88.9%88.9%80%
Croije et alBloemfontein1997-1999
ongoing…..
??• Cyto• Cervico• VIA
• Cyto• Cervico• VIA• Speculo
3000 women
1000 women
37.8%/9950.3% /77%51.2%/ 49%
60/96%48.9/86.8%80/46.3%82/ 39.5%
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Human Papilloma Virus ( HPV)
STUDY TYPE ofSTUDY
SCREENING TEST PATIENTPOPULATION
RESULTS
Lorincz et alNew York 1998
Cohort Study Hybrid Capture Liquid Based Cytology
Biopsy
265 women withASCUS and LSIL
by Colposcopy( mean age 27yrs)
Sensitivity:LSIL 86%HSIL 93%
Kinney et alUSA 1999
Cohort Study Liquid based cytologyHybrid Capture
Histology
995 women withASCUS fromGynae Clinics
SensitivityHPV – 89.2%
Repeat Pap 76.2%Cuzick et al
UK 1999Cross -
sectionalConventional Pap
PCR /SHARPHybrid Capture
3103 women, > 35yrs
Routine GP Clinics
PCR= 87.3%HPV Hybrid Capture
=88.9%Pap –79%
T.Wright et alCape Town
Cross-sectional
CytologyVIA
Hybrid CaptureCervicography
1415 women36-60 yrs
67.9% sensitivity ofboth HPV Hybrid
Capture ( selfcollected) and Pap
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Different Screening Methods Compared to PapSmearTEST LINKS SCIENTIFIC T SE/SP C TEPap + + + ? ?
PolarProbe + ? ? ? ? +
VIA + + +- ? -Automa
tion - + ++ + +
Speculoscopy + + ? ? + -
TumorMarker - + ? ? ? + +
Cervicography - + +- + -
ThinPrep - + + + ? +
HPVTest - + -- ? +
HPVVaccine + + +
DownStaging + --
T = Training - SE = Sensitivity - C = Cost - TE = TechnologyLinks = Means referrals when compared to Pap test
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Conclusion / Discussion
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Conclusion / Discussion
• Screening for cervical cancer reduces incidence of & mortality from invasive disease (upto 90%)
• Is applicable as a public health policy
• However, a single format cannot be applicable for all countries / regions
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Conclusion / Discussion
• Limitations of cytology based screening programmes (esp in DCs):- cost for population based application- lack of quality assurance - suboptimal- logistical issues
• Low compliance / High drop out rate
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Conclusion / DiscussionNew alternative techniques - holding promise
• VIA sensitivity comparable (70%)specificity low (14-30%)
? PPV & NPV? Efficacy & QC? Cost ( overtreatment)
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Conclusion / Discussion• HPV sensitivity comparable (80-90%)
specificity lower (high false + < 30 yrs)
? PPV & NPV (risk of reduced surveillance)? Efficacy & QC? Cost ( pop. based screening)? Benefit independent of cytology
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Conclusion / Discussion• Sequential screening with a low cost, simple test
e.g. Visual Inspection with Acetic Acid (VIA)
• Followed by a more objective test e.g. Pap smear or HPV detection on selected sub-group
• Disinvest in screening programme (screen 10 yrly)
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Conclusion / Discussion
• All new techniques need to be evaluatedin RCTs for specificity; quality control; cost-effectiveness; efficacy
• HPV vaccines: 30 years to evaluate; logistics not defined
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Conclusion / Discussion
Pap smear the only proven method Step-up approach• Screen every woman at age 45• When resources permit screen 10 yrly at age 35,
45, 55• If resources available, screen 5 yrly age 35-59• Once coverage achieved (80%)- expand to age 25
(if resources available)
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Cervical Cancer Control27
Mortality in developing countries
Screening introducedin developed countries
Effect of screening
6
Mortality in developed countries
Effect ofhealth education visual inspectionstandard therapy
Dea
ths
0,0
per 1
000
time
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Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève
Parting Comment
The decision to establish and continue screeningprogrammes depends on:
• the factual evidence
• a compromise between different elements of progmmmes, individualised to the needs of different populations
Alternatives to Cytology: New Perspectives for Screening of Cervical CancerObjective of the ProjectAnnual Estimates of New Cases GloballyAvailable Control StrategiesTime to show Important Impact of Different MeasuresPrerequisites of a successful screening programmeScreening TestCharacteristics of an Organized Screening ProgramAlternatives to CytologyWHO International Study Group INTERNATIONAL NETWORK ON CONTROL OF GYNAECOLOGICAL CANCERSINCGC The Philosophy/Aims&ObjectivesPilot Demonstration Project for cervical cancer Screening & Management in a Selected Region in Pakistan (Lahore District)Estimated Cases of Cx Ca in Regions and Selected CountriesCervical Cancer in Pakistan: EpidemiologyCervical Cancer in Pakistan: EpidemiologyObjectives of the ProjectAIM of the ProjectMaterials & MethodsProject Phases:Target PopulationData CollectionRESULTSRESULTSResults of VIA and Pap-smears compared with Histologic diagnosisResults ( contd.)Comparison of VIA and HistologyComparison of Pap-smear and HistologyRESULTSConsensus Conference, Tunis 1999 AIMS & OBJECTIVESVIADifferent Screening Methods Compared to PapSmearConclusion / DiscussionConclusion / DiscussionConclusion / DiscussionConclusion / DiscussionConclusion / DiscussionConclusion / DiscussionConclusion / DiscussionParting Comment