megha aggarwal dr. (prof.) sanjay gupta school of planning ... · pdf file megha aggarwal dr....
Post on 25-Mar-2020
2 views
Embed Size (px)
TRANSCRIPT
Megha Aggarwal
Dr. (Prof.) Sanjay Gupta
School of Planning & Architecture, New Delhi
Contents
• Introduction
• Delhi – Scenario
• Literature Review
• Survey Details & Findings
• Scenario Development
• Conclusions
Introduction - Background
URBAN TRANSPORT SCENE
• Motorization Rate (India)
• 1991-2001 – 10%
• 2001-2005 – 12.3%
• 2005-2011 – 16-18%
2010 – No. of Registered Motor
Vehicles = 136.8 million.
Source: SIAM (2012)
Delhi – Highest level of motorization; as well
as highest no. of cars (106 cars / 1000
population; 0.31 cars per HH in 2011)
83%
17%
% Cars
Registered
MV other
than Cars
Cars
Research Need & Objectives
Research Need
• There is an alarming increase in
car ownership levels resulting in
increased congestion levels,
pollutions , safety issues, etc.
• While national policies do
emphasize on public transport
usage there is very little thrust on
ways to achieve restraint on car
ownership and its usage
• Insignificant empirical studies in
mega cities like Delhi on measures
to restraint car ownership and its
use.
Objectives of the Study
• To review the best practices for
restraining car ownership & usage.
• To assess the socio-economic and
mobility patterns of car-users.
• To study the attitudinal behavior
of car users in selected case study
locations in Delhi towards using of
cars & the deterring factors
prohibiting their public transit
usage.
• To evolve alternate policies &
strategies for restraining car
ownership and its use.
Car Ownership Scenario
• 2011 – 17.8 lakh cars (106
cars / 1000 popn.)
• AAGR in no. of cars –
• 1990s – 8%p.a.
• 2000-2010 – 13%.
0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00
10.00 12.00 14.00
1 9 9 0 -9
1
1 9 9 1 -9
2
1 9 9 2 -9
3
1 9 9 3 -9
4
1 9 9 4 -9
5
1 9 9 5 -9
6
1 9 9 6 -9
7
1 9 9 7 -9
8
9 8 -9
9
9 9 -0
0
2 0 0 0 -0
1
2 0 0 1 -0
2
2 0 0 2 -0
3
2 0 0 3 -0
4
N o
. o f
C a rs
( in
L a k
h s)
Year
Car Ownership Trend - Delhi
no. of
cars (in
lakhs)
Mode Share
• Car constituted
almost 40% of the
total traffic but has
only 9% modal share. Source: RITES (2007)
Car Usage (Car Travel Characteristics)
• Average Trip Length by Car – 15.5 km.
• Av. Car Utilization Rate per day – 36km. – 45 km.
Delhi - Scenario
What is happening on Delhi Roads??
Only 1 lane
left for moving
vehicles
2 lanes
encroached
upon by parking
Lajpat Nagar Market
Traffic Jam at Ashram Flyover Traffic Jam at Mathura Road
Karol Bagh Market
More than half of the
carriageway is under
parking
Literature Review - Car Ownership
Restraint Policy Examples:
1. Car License Quota
No intervention on car
ownership policy
Rigidly limited quota of car
license Eg. Beijing Eg. Shanghai
C ar
o w
n e rs
h ip
1986
2009
1.4 cars / 1000 pop. 0.90 cars / 1000 pop.
220 cars / 1000 pop. 80 cars / 1000 pop.
2. Vehicle Quota System, Singapore Fixed growth rate of car/annum
-1990 – 3% P.A.
- 2009 - 1.9% P.A.
Certificate of Entitlement (Coe)
Bidding Process
3. Increase in Taxes on Car Price, Japan
Car Ownership Restraint Policies
Licensing System Taxation (Excise
Duty, Road Tax,
Etc.)
Increasing
Interest Rate On
Car Loans
Have only short-term effect,
Delays purchase of car,
Leads to shift from higher to lower
model of particular make
Based on fixed saturation level for
the city
License plates are auctioned or
given on certain other criteria like
availability of parking space at
residential area
Relevance in Delhi’s Scenario:
1. Fixing up of Saturation level can be done, but ensuring a transparent &
equitable bidding system will be a challenge.
2. Fixing up of quota according to availability of parking space at residential
area.
3. Increasing interest rates on car price can only be feasible if the interest
rate is increased annually according to the increase in per-capita income.
Expert’s Opinion:
1. Vehicle Quota System, Resident Parking Permit Program may prove to be
relevant and feasible for car ownership restraint in Delhi.
• Summary:
Literature Review - Car Ownership
Restraint Policy (cont.)
Impact:
- 32% reduction in travel times
- 8.75 – 10 lakhs passenger / day
- decrease in air pollution - 43% reduction in SO2, 18%
reduction NO2, & 12% reduction in particulate matters
- Fatality rate dropped by 42%.
Car Use Restraint
Examples:
1. Congestion Charging – London, Singapore
Impact:
1. Total Traffic Volume
decreased by upto
14% in 1 year.
2. Modal share of car
has decreased by
over 36% in the
cordoned zone
3. PT usage has
increased by over
30%
CORDONED ZONE
CONGESTION
CHARGING
SIGNS AT THE
EDGE OF THE
ZONES
PUBLIC TELEPHONES
WITH INTERNET
PAYMENT OPTION
CAMERAS
WITHIN THE
ZONE
SIGNAGE & USE OF TECHNOLOGY IN THE CORDONED ZONE
CHANGES IN THE VOLUME OF INBOUND
TRAFFIC DURING THE MORNING & EVENING
PEAK HOURS SINCE 1975.
LOCATION OF ALS
RESTRICTED ZONE,
SINGAPORE
AREA LICENSING SCHEME, SINGAPORE
ALS RESTRICTED ZONE
WARNING SIGN
Impact:
1. Total Traffic
Volume decreased
by upto 37% in 1
year.
2. Modal share of car
decreased by over
70% in the ALS
zone.
2. Oxford Park & Ride System
Dedicated bus service from park & ride
sites to all activity areas – segregated
bus lanes, bus priority system
- 2 in 5 cars shifted to the system (1.3
million car/day less on road)
- Modal share of bus increased from
50% to 80% (in 12 years)
3. Enhancing PT supply & coverage (Bogota’s Transmillenio)
Relevance in Delhi’s Scenario:
1. Congestion charging can be adopted in places like CP, Chandni Chowk,
ITO which have good connectivity by metro & bus.
2. Park & Ride strategy is highly relevant. (Park & Ride sites can be
proposed at various regional parks, stadiums, etc. and these should be
complemented with shuttle service to the activity area.)
3. Enhancing PT supply & coverage would be highly relevant, if supported by
feeder service, pedestrian pathways, state of art infrastructure, multi-
modal integration, etc.
Expert’s Opinion:
1. Hiked & variable parking fees, park & ride facility, enhancing PT supply &
coverage have been rated as relevant policies by experts. Whereas
congestion pricing, car pool, etc. were regarded as not efficient policies
for restraining car use.
Survey Details and Findings –
Case Study Area
• Case Study Selection criteria – Car Trip Attraction Intensities,
access to Public Transport, Hierarchy of use zone.
MAP: Car OD Pattern – Delhi
(Source: RITES, 2007)
Use Type / Activity
Node
Access To PT
Bus Only Bus + Metro
Commercial Areas South Ex. Lajpat Nagar
G.K. Market Connaught Place
Work Zone
Bhikaji
Cama
Place
I. P. Estate
Nehru Place
Saket
Lodi Institutional Area
Table: Case Study Selection
Case Study - Information
Aspect Commercial Centers
Lajpat Nagar Connaught Place
No. of Establishments 234 462
Footfalls / day 16000 250000
Parking Space 2621 E.C.S. 10326 E.C.S.
Aspect Work Zones
Bhikaji Cama
Place
I.P. Estate
Footfalls / day 17500 15000
Surveys Conducted & Sample Covered
S.No. Aspect
1 Personal or HH Information (HH Income, Vehicle Ownership Details,
Car usage)
2 General Car Use (ATL, CU, Trip Purpose)
3 Attitudinal Survey (Reason for choosing Car & not PT; willingness to
shift to PT)
4
Pre