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02009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco PublicBoF-05
Environmental IPv6Monitoring Application
BoF-05
Patrick GrosseteteProduct Management and Customers Solutions
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Housekeeping
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the Overall Conference Evaluation which will be availableonline from Thursday
Visit the World of Solutions
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Please switch off your mobile phones
Please make use of the recycling bins provided
Please remember to wear your badge at all timesincluding the Party
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2008 Tata Communications, Ltd. All Rights Reserved
CORPORATE
2BoF-05
Are you ready for thecoming IP(v6!) traffic
explosion?
Yves Poppe
Director Bus. Dev.IP Services
Cisco NetworkersBarcelona, january 26th 2009
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Member of the Tata Group
125-year old largest private sector group
$62.5 billion in revenues
Acquired VSNL in February 2002 VSNL acquired Tyco in Nov 2004
VSNL acquired Teleglobe in Feb 2006
Teleglobe, Tyco, VSNL and VSNLInternational became TataCommunications on February 13th 2008
Tata Consultancy Services (TCS)
Major shareholder in Neotel
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Transmission Control Protocol
User Datagram Protocol
Encapsulating Security Payload over IP or IPSec
Generic Routing Encapsulation for tunnelingInternet Control Message Protocol
The Internet as seen by 113 ISPs of the Global Fingerprint Sharing Alliance
Real-time Internet statistics provided by ISPs participating in the global Fingerprint Sharing Alliance
93%
6%
Approx. 20% of the worldwide Internet traffic
70Gbps total approx.
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The per meg revenue dilemma
From a 5 meg mp3 file for 0.99$ .to a 1.5 Gb movie rental for 4.99$ to flat rate all you can eat starting at8.99$ per month
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Where does telecom revenue come from?
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GlobalRe
venue
Bn Mobile VoiceFixed Voice
Mobile Data
Fixed Data
From: Nokia March 2006
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0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
PB/mo
nth
Internet Video to TV
Internet Video to PC
VoIP
Video CommunicationGaming
P2P
Web / Email
Projected Internet traffic growth residential users
Source: Cisco analysis of multiple sources, 2007
42% CAGR 2006-2011
PB: PetaBytes
EB: ExaBytes
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Consumer Networking is the fashion!
13% 13% 10%
21%15%
11%
9% 21% 33%
22%21%
20%
35% 30%26%
2005 2006 2007
Internet Traffic Mix (PageViews)
Total (Bn) 94 139 174
Source: Nielson Netratings Youtube numbers: source: Commscore
Content
Communication
Community
Commerce
Search
November 2008: 97 million US
viewers watched 5.1 billion
videos on YouTube.com
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Running out of IPv4 addresses: Crash landing or comet impact?
If lack of addresses endangers internetgrowth and revenue imperatives, selfpreservation dynamics will prevail.
Some ISPs will be trampled, some willride a new growth wave, some new ones
could emerge.Some transitory turbulences but no majorservice discontinuities or meltdowns
Address hoarding, reclamation, blackmarkets, multiple NAT levels and other
transition gimmicks is just bad business.
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The promises of IPv6
Solves address shortage
Restores p2p communication
Mobility
Much easier roaming
Better spectrum utilization
Better battery life!Security
IPsec mandatory
Multicast
Better QoS (flow labels)
Auto configuration
Mobile Ad-Hoc networking
Mobile networks
Sensor networks
Plug and Play networks
Permanent addresses Identity (CLID)
Traceability (RFID)
Addressability!
IP address based billing
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HomeCarrieror ISP
GlobalCarrieror ISP
ForeignCarrieror ISP
AS6453
AS 6453 as tier 1 carriers carrier network
OC48/192 MPLS backbone
1500+ Gbps of Backbone Capacity
Carries 700+ Petabits per month;
Dual stack IPv4 and IPv6
60+% year over year traffic growthCourtesy of User generated Contentand p2p: Youtube, Myspace etc
Did an early IPv6 lead pay off? YES
Ready for the upcoming IPv6 traffic
component growth explosion
IPv6 catalysts
Exhaustion of IPv4 addresses
Government push
Mobile? VoIP? Grid? Cloud? Vista? Sensors? P2P?
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Some pieces still wanting or missing?
Comprehensive DNS support
A great step forward was the IPv6 glue in 6 of the 13 roots
More generalized support in DNS servers thoughout would help
Inter-AS IPv6 routing on par with IPv4
Google measurements (see RIPE 57 presentation by Lorenzo Colitti) show majordeficiencies in IPv6 routing leading to occasionally long RTT due to long paths.
Generalization of dual stack inter-AS connectivity should be a priority
IPv6 accessible content
Still minimal but likely to improve. Google initiatives could set the stage. Lack of hardware accelerated load balancing for IPv6 often cited as problem
Clarification or enhancement of some operational aspects:
Security: Firewalls? Spam filters? Tunneling la Teredo? Network Management?
Pervasiveness of IPv6 support in access boxes refresh cycle for DSLAMs and cablemodems, 3G, WiMax, where is Linksys?
Next frontier: Mobile Operator, Sensor and Enterprise networks
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2008 saw the inflection point for IPv6 traffic growth
AMS-IX in Amsterdam
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In conclusion : Before anything else plan for sufficient bandwidth
Exploding bandwidth on the access side:
ADSL, cable, WiMax, 3G HSDPA and HSUPA, FTTx, Power line access..
Powerful new chipsets and access devices (handsets, laptops)
Intel: new generation of low powered high performance chips that deliverbroadband internet access in your pocket
approx 100 million smartphones sold in 2008!
Bandwidth hungry applications
Youtube, Facebook, Second life, Interactive Games, music & moviedownloads, IPTV, webTV, personal videoconferencing etc. etc.
Buy sufficient IP transit from your upstream suppliers, peer at local IP exchanges forexchange of local traffic. Be proactive: buy and peer in both IPv4 and IPv6
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If not done yet, you should urgently
Audit your network for IPv6 upgradeability and mandate immediate IPv6 support inall IT procurements: services, products and applications
Obtain an IPv6 address block from your RIR or LIR
Start to deploy IPv6 as part of the upgrade cycle to avoid a capital expense surgewhen IPv6 traffic ramps up
in order to be ready for
The unavoidable IPv4 address exhaustion and IPv6 traffic surge
Conform to the now prevailing IPv6 requirements in major RFQs from ISPs and
Government and even more and more in major enterprise projects. Revenue streams induced by a profusion of addresses, enhanced mobility and
security, ad-hoc networking, plug and play and IP convergence
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www.tatacommunications.comBUSINESS
16BoF-05
These days all competitive advantagesare fleeting. So the smartest companiesare learning to create new ones again
and again and again
Robert D. Hof , Business Week,
Whatever advantage you have, someone will take it away fromyou
C.K. Prahalad, professor of Corporate Strategy
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Meet The Expert
To make the most of your time at Cisco Networkers 2009,schedule a Face-to-Face Meeting with a top Cisco Expert.
Designed to provide a "big picture" perspective as well as"in-depth" technology discussions, these face-to-facemeetings will provide fascinating dialogue and a wealth ofvaluable insights and ideas.
Visit the Meeting Centre reception desk located in the
Meeting Centre in World of Solutions
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